MIA · Bye 6
Jaylen Wright
Jaylen Wright comes off the board at 15.12 on average in 14-team Half PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 15.13.
14-team Half PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated September 17, 2026
Updates
Recent updates
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Jaylen Wright by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 1 completed game Jaylen Wright has averaged -2.3 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ LV | 2.2 | -0.1 | -2.3 |
| Wk 2 | — | — | 1.1 | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Jaylen Wright #263 in 1QB and #267 in Superflex, RB73 at his position. Age 23.
1QB
#263
RB73 · tier 62 · of 297
Superflex
#267
RB73 · tier 54 · of 303
- Last season 45.7 pts 5.1 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 62% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 2 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 7.6 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 3% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.12
pick 208.0 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.13
half of simulations take him by pick 209
Draft range
15.10 - 15.14
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 699 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.13 in 97% of simulations
Pick 209 overall in a 14-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.12 and 15.14.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.11 | >99% |
| 15.12 | 98% |
| 15.13 | 97% |
| 15.14 | 95% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 15.05 | 0% | 0 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 0% | 0 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 0% | 0 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | <1% | 2 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | <1% | 23 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | <1% | 43 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | <1% | 93 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 1% | 146 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.13 | 2% | 184 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.14 | 2% | 201 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 699 simulations in which Jaylen Wright was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Pat Bryant WR · DEN 4%
- Brandon Aiyuk WR · SF 4%
- Emanuel Wilson RB · SEA 3%
- Keaton Mitchell RB · LAC 3%
Usually taken just after
- Wil Lutz K · DEN 3%
- Brandon Aiyuk WR · SF 3%
- Ray Davis RB · BUF 3%
- Chimere Dike WR · TEN 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Jaylen Wright was selected in 699 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.