SF · Bye 8
Brandon Aiyuk
Brandon Aiyuk comes off the board at 15.09 on average in 14-team Half PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 15.09.
14-team Half PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated October 1, 2026
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Weekly performance vs. LMD projections will appear once games begin.
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD does not currently assign Brandon Aiyuk a differentiated dynasty rank. Age 28.
The model prices him at replacement level for the next three seasons and does not separate him from the several hundred players it prices the same way, so it assigns no rank rather than an invented one.
- Last season 49.9 pts 7.1 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 31% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 2 seasons Played in 2 of his 3 seasons in the window the model reads.
- Touches 3.3 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 12% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.09
pick 205.0 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.09
half of simulations take him by pick 205
Draft range
15.05 - 15.13
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 2,760 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.09 in 88% of simulations
Pick 205 overall in a 14-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.07 and 15.12.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.07 | 93% |
| 15.08 | 91% |
| 15.09 | 88% |
| 15.10 | 86% |
| 15.11 | 83% |
| 15.12 | 80% |
| 15.13 | 78% |
| 15.14 | 75% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 15.04 | 1% | 135 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 2% | 166 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 3% | 264 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 2% | 247 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 3% | 258 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 3% | 252 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 3% | 273 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 3% | 273 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 3% | 256 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.13 | 3% | 258 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 2760 simulations in which Brandon Aiyuk was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Antonio Williams WR · WAS 3%
- Kayshon Boutte WR · HOU 3%
- Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 3%
- Pat Bryant WR · DEN 3%
Usually taken just after
- Kayshon Boutte WR · HOU 3%
- Ja'Kobi Lane WR · BAL 3%
- Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 3%
- Denzel Boston WR · CLE 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Brandon Aiyuk was selected in 2760 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.