PHI · Bye 10 · Rookie
Eli Stowers
LMD TE Tier 10 for Week 9 · 3.6 projected Full PPR points · TE65 rest of season
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 3.6 points this week, TE Tier 10. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 1.0 - 8.1 points. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 4% · Top 24: 12% of simulated weeks.
Week 9
TE Tier 10
2.7 - 3.6 projected points
Rest of season
TE65
283rd by projected points
Projected
3.6
week 9, Full PPR
Top 12
4%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 12% at TE
Movement
↑ 28
TE79 in Week 8, TE51 now
Should you start Eli Stowers in Week 9?
Bench
Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Eli Stowers TE51 for Week 9, outside the TE12 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside TE12 in 4% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Slight positive+0.10 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight negative-0.25 pts
- Betting markets
- No mean changeNarrower range-0.02 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Full PPR scoring · Updated November 4, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
STATUS
Eli Stowers is no longer listed on the injury report.
Let's Mock Draft ·
Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 1 completed game Eli Stowers has averaged +7.1 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 | — | — | 0.0 | — |
| Wk 8 | @ WAS | 1.2 | 8.3 | +7.1 |
| Wk 9 | vs NYG | 3.6 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 34.9 points this season, TE65. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1% of simulated seasons. That is 3.7 a game over 9 remaining games.
Per game
3.7 / game
Over 9 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at TE
Market input
thin
Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 4, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Eli Stowers #196 in 1QB and #193 in Superflex, TE26 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 23.
1QB
#196
TE26 · tier 43 · of 300 · rookie 25 of 52
Superflex
#193
TE26 · tier 36 · of 307 · rookie 25 of 52
- Draft capital Round 2, pick 54 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Dynasty rankings Dynasty TE rankings Dynasty rookie rankings
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
14.04
pick 160.2 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
14.09
half of simulations take him by pick 165
Draft range
12.08 - 15.10
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 4,296 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 14.09 in 79% of simulations
Pick 165 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 4, the same seat picks again at 15.04, where he is available in 72% of simulations.
Slot 4's remaining turns: 14.09 79% · 15.04 72%
The middle half of simulations take him between 12.11 and 15.06.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 14.07 | 80% |
| 14.08 | 79% |
| 14.09 | 79% |
| 14.10 | 78% |
| 14.11 | 77% |
| 14.12 | 76% |
| 15.01 | 76% |
| 15.02 | 74% |
| 15.03 | 73% |
| 15.04 | 72% |
| 15.05 | 70% |
| 15.06 | 68% |
| 15.07 | 67% |
| 15.08 | 65% |
| 15.09 | 64% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 12.08-12.09 | 4% | 377 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.10-12.11 | 4% | 384 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.12-13.01 | 3% | 259 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.02-13.03 | <1% | 40 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.04-13.05 | <1% | 62 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.06-13.07 | <1% | 38 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08-13.09 | <1% | 47 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.10-13.11 | <1% | 57 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.12-14.01 | <1% | 78 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02-14.03 | 1% | 101 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.04-14.05 | 1% | 113 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.06-14.07 | 1% | 117 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08-14.09 | 1% | 136 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10-14.11 | 2% | 163 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12-15.01 | 2% | 214 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02-15.03 | 3% | 275 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04-15.05 | 3% | 311 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06-15.07 | 3% | 315 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08-15.09 | 3% | 310 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 156 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 4296 simulations in which Eli Stowers was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Harrison Butker K · KC 2%
- Green Bay Packers DST · GB 2%
- Tyjae Spears RB · TEN 2%
- Trey Benson RB · ARI 2%
Usually taken just after
- Brandon Aubrey K · DAL 4%
- Jake Bates K · DET 2%
- T.J. Hockenson TE · MIN 2%
- Trey Benson RB · ARI 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Eli Stowers was selected in 4296 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 29, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 29, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@92814d262ce9916c
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-29)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.