CAR · Bye 5 · Rookie
Chris Brazzell II
LMD WR132 rest of season · 43.9 projected Half PPR points
No game this week
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 43.9 points this season, WR132. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 4.4 a game over 9.825 remaining games. No game this week.
Rest of season
WR132
242nd by projected points
Projected
43.9
rest of season, Half PPR
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 0% at WR
Movement
NEW
Not ranked in the previous board
Half PPR scoring · Updated October 8, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Weekly performance vs. LMD projections will appear once games begin.
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 43.9 points this season, WR132. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 4.4 a game over 9.825 remaining games. No game this week.
Per game
4.4 / game
Over 9.825 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 8, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Chris Brazzell II #180 in 1QB and #185 in Superflex, WR76 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 22.
1QB
#180
WR76 · tier 40 · of 297 · rookie 22 of 52
Superflex
#185
WR76 · tier 34 · of 303 · rookie 23 of 52
- Draft capital Round 3, pick 83 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Dynasty rankings Dynasty WR rankings Dynasty rookie rankings
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
14.12
pick 168.2 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
14.12
half of simulations take him by pick 168
Draft range
14.03 - 15.10
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 5,913 of them
Filters
League format
Nothing is published for every setting in that link, so this is the closest configuration we have simulated for Chris Brazzell II.
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 14.12 in 72% of simulations
Pick 168 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 1, the same seat picks again at 15.01, where he is available in 69% of simulations.
Slot 1's remaining turns: 14.12 72% · 15.01 69%
The middle half of simulations take him between 14.06 and 15.06.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 14.10 | 77% |
| 14.11 | 74% |
| 14.12 | 72% |
| 15.01 | 69% |
| 15.02 | 67% |
| 15.03 | 64% |
| 15.04 | 62% |
| 15.05 | 60% |
| 15.06 | 57% |
| 15.07 | 55% |
| 15.08 | 53% |
| 15.09 | 50% |
| 15.10 | 48% |
| 15.11 | 45% |
| 15.12 | 43% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.03 | 3% | 259 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.04 | 2% | 246 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.05 | 3% | 272 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.06 | 2% | 247 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.07 | 2% | 245 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08 | 3% | 253 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.09 | 3% | 287 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10 | 3% | 261 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11 | 2% | 224 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12 | 3% | 255 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 2% | 239 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 3% | 272 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 2% | 238 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 2% | 216 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 2% | 237 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 243 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 2% | 218 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 239 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 240 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 3% | 252 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 5913 simulations in which Chris Brazzell II was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Zachariah Branch WR · ATL 3%
- Brashard Smith RB · KC 3%
- Isaac TeSlaa WR · DET 3%
- Kimani Vidal RB · LAC 3%
Usually taken just after
- Kimani Vidal RB · LAC 3%
- Matthew Golden WR · GB 3%
- Isaac TeSlaa WR · DET 3%
- Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Chris Brazzell II was selected in 5913 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 8, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.