SEA · Bye 11
Zach Charbonnet
LMD RB Tier 6 for Week 9 · 8.0 projected Standard points · RB39 rest of season
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 8.0 points this week, RB Tier 6. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 2.1 - 16.8 points. Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 16% · Top 24: 36% of simulated weeks.
Week 9
RB Tier 6
7.5 - 8.8 projected points
Rest of season
RB39
80th by projected points
Projected
8.0
week 9, Standard
Top 12
16%
Top 3: 3% · Top 24: 36% at RB
Movement
↓ 3
RB28 in Week 8, RB31 now
Should you start Zach Charbonnet in Week 9?
Borderline
It is close. LMD ranks Zach Charbonnet RB31 for Week 9, just outside the RB24 starter line. He finishes inside RB24 in 36% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Slight positive+0.30 pts
- Recent usage & efficiencyLimited data
- Slight negative-0.14 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Positive+0.82 pts
- Betting markets
- Slight negative-0.10 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Zach Charbonnet makes his 2026 debut versus Chicago
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Experts update Bears vs. Seahawks predictions after Zach Charbonnet, Jadarian Price injury updates
silive.com ·
-
Seahawks’ Week 8 injury report vs. Bears: Zach Charbonnet, Jadarian Price set to return for MNF clash
clutchpoints.com ·
-
Is Zach Charbonnet Playing Tonight? (Injury Update, Betting Impact for Bears vs. Seahawks in NFL Week 8)
Sports Illustrated ·
-
STATUS
Zach Charbonnet is no longer listed on the injury report.
Let's Mock Draft ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Zach Charbonnet by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 1 completed game Zach Charbonnet has averaged -5.0 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 8 | vs CHI | 7.9 | 2.9 | -5.0 |
| Wk 9 | vs ARI | 8.0 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB43. For the rest of the season LMD has him 4 spots higher, at RB39.
Preseason market: RB43 · ADP 137.4
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB39 +4
LMD has him 4 spots higher than his RB43 draft price.
Week 9
RB31 +12
LMD has him 12 spots higher than his RB43 draft price.
Standard scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB43 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 64.6 points this season, RB39. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 11% of simulated seasons. That is 8.0 a game over 9 remaining games.
Per game
8.0 / game
Over 9 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 11%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
broad
Broad market coverage across several venues and markets.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Zach Charbonnet #68 in 1QB and #73 in Superflex, RB23 at his position. Age 25.
1QB
#68
RB23 · tier 18 · of 300
Superflex
#73
RB23 · tier 14 · of 307
- Last season 171.4 pts 10.7 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 96% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 11.7 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 7% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
12.05
pick 137.1 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
12.01
half of simulations take him by pick 133
Draft range
11.01 - 15.01
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,672 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 12.01 in 54% of simulations
Pick 133 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 12, the same seat picks again at 13.12, where he is available in 18% of simulations.
Slot 12's remaining turns: 12.01 54% · 13.12 18% · 14.01 18% · 15.12 4%
The middle half of simulations take him between 11.06 and 12.09.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 11.11 | 61% |
| 11.12 | 58% |
| 12.01 | 54% |
| 12.02 | 51% |
| 12.03 | 47% |
| 12.04 | 44% |
| 12.05 | 41% |
| 12.06 | 38% |
| 12.07 | 35% |
| 12.08 | 32% |
| 12.09 | 29% |
| 12.10 | 26% |
| 12.11 | 24% |
| 12.12 | 21% |
| 13.01 | 19% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 11.01-11.03 | 8% | 758 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.04-11.06 | 9% | 919 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.07-11.09 | 10% | 963 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.10-11.12 | 10% | 1029 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.01-12.03 | 10% | 1026 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.04-12.06 | 9% | 935 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.07-12.09 | 8% | 847 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.10-12.12 | 7% | 697 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.01-13.03 | <1% | 9 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.04-13.06 | <1% | 16 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.07-13.09 | <1% | 19 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.10-13.12 | <1% | 51 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.01-14.03 | 1% | 103 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.04-14.06 | <1% | 88 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.07-14.09 | 1% | 112 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10-14.12 | 1% | 138 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 1% | 125 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9672 simulations in which Zach Charbonnet was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Kenny Gainwell RB · TB 3%
- Juwan Johnson TE · NO 3%
- Rachaad White RB · WAS 2%
- Travis Kelce TE · KC 2%
Usually taken just after
- Woody Marks RB · HOU 3%
- Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB · NYG 3%
- Rachaad White RB · WAS 2%
- Kenyon Sadiq TE · NYJ 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Zach Charbonnet was selected in 9672 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of November 5, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-11-05)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.