SEA · Bye 11
Zach Charbonnet
LMD RB48 rest of season · 80.2 projected Half PPR points
Reserve list (PUP-R)
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 80.2 points this season, RB48. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1% of simulated seasons. That is 7.4 a game over 10.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (PUP-R), so the season projection prices the games he misses.
Rest of season
RB48
158th by projected points
Projected
80.2
rest of season, Half PPR
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 1% at RB
Movement
NEW
Not ranked in the previous board
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
ADP UPDATE
Zach Charbonnet's ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 139.4 to 132.4 over the last 7 days.
-
Experts update Seattle Seahawks Week 1 outlook after crucial Zach Charbonnet injury update
oregonlive.com ·
-
Zach Charbonnet to start season on PUP list, but a rule change could benefit him
Yahoo Sports ·
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Jadarian Price can take over Seahawks RB room after Zach Charbonnet update
Sporting News ·
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Seahawks cut CB Trevon Diggs, place RB Zach Charbonnet on PUP among moves to 53
NBC Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Zach Charbonnet by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Weekly performance vs. LMD projections will appear once games begin.
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB44. For the rest of the season LMD has him 4 spots lower, at RB48.
Preseason market: RB44 · ADP 137.8
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB48 −4
LMD has him 4 spots lower than his RB44 draft price.
This week
Not ranked this week — a bye or a ruling out takes a player off the weekly board rather than ranking him last.
Half PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB44 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 80.2 points this season, RB48. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1% of simulated seasons. That is 7.4 a game over 10.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (PUP-R), so the season projection prices the games he misses.
Per game
7.4 / game
Over 10.825 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Zach Charbonnet #68 in 1QB and #73 in Superflex, RB23 at his position. Age 25.
1QB
#68
RB23 · tier 18 · of 297
Superflex
#73
RB23 · tier 14 · of 303
- Last season 171.4 pts 10.7 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 96% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 11.7 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 7% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
11.08
pick 127.5 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
11.05
half of simulations take him by pick 125
Draft range
10.02 - 12.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,816 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 11.05 in 52% of simulations
Pick 125 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 5, the same seat picks again at 12.08, where he is available in 17% of simulations.
Slot 5's remaining turns: 11.05 52% · 12.08 17% · 13.05 10% · 14.08 8% · 15.05 5%
The middle half of simulations take him between 10.08 and 12.03.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 11.03 | 58% |
| 11.04 | 55% |
| 11.05 | 52% |
| 11.06 | 49% |
| 11.07 | 46% |
| 11.08 | 44% |
| 11.09 | 41% |
| 11.10 | 39% |
| 11.11 | 36% |
| 11.12 | 34% |
| 12.01 | 32% |
| 12.02 | 29% |
| 12.03 | 27% |
| 12.04 | 25% |
| 12.05 | 23% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 10.02-10.03 | 5% | 478 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.04-10.05 | 5% | 499 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.06-10.07 | 5% | 494 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.08-10.09 | 6% | 557 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.10-10.11 | 5% | 544 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.12-11.01 | 5% | 525 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.02-11.03 | 6% | 563 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.04-11.05 | 6% | 589 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.06-11.07 | 5% | 548 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.08-11.09 | 5% | 518 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.10-11.11 | 5% | 471 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.12-12.01 | 5% | 488 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.02-12.03 | 4% | 436 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.04-12.05 | 4% | 400 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.06-12.07 | 3% | 348 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.08-12.09 | 3% | 329 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.10-12.11 | 3% | 252 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9816 simulations in which Zach Charbonnet was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Wan'Dale Robinson WR · TEN 3%
- Quentin Johnston WR · LAC 2%
- Travis Hunter WR · JAX 2%
- Michael Pittman WR · PIT 2%
Usually taken just after
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB · WAS 2%
- Josh Downs WR · IND 2%
- Blake Corum RB · LAR 2%
- Isaiah Likely TE · NYG 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Zach Charbonnet was selected in 9816 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.