ARI · Bye 14
Trey Benson
LMD RB74 rest of season · 43.5 projected Standard points
Reserve list (IR)
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 43.5 points this season, RB74. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 4.1 a game over 10.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses.
Rest of season
RB74
247th by projected points
Projected
43.5
rest of season, Standard
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 0% at RB
Movement
NEW
Not ranked in the previous board
Standard scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Weekly performance vs. LMD projections will appear once games begin.
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 43.5 points this season, RB74. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 4.1 a game over 10.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses.
Per game
4.1 / game
Over 10.825 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Trey Benson #282 in 1QB and #283 in Superflex, RB77 at his position. Age 24.
1QB
#282
RB77 · tier 71 · of 297
Superflex
#283
RB77 · tier 59 · of 303
- Last season 28.9 pts 7.2 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 41% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 2 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 9.2 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 9% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
13.11
pick 155.4 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
13.06
half of simulations take him by pick 150
Draft range
12.05 - 15.09
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 6,889 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 13.06 in 66% of simulations
Pick 150 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 6, the same seat picks again at 14.07, where he is available in 61% of simulations.
Slot 6's remaining turns: 13.06 66% · 14.07 61% · 15.06 45%
The middle half of simulations take him between 12.08 and 15.04.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 13.04 | 66% |
| 13.05 | 66% |
| 13.06 | 66% |
| 13.07 | 66% |
| 13.08 | 65% |
| 13.09 | 65% |
| 13.10 | 65% |
| 13.11 | 65% |
| 13.12 | 65% |
| 14.01 | 64% |
| 14.02 | 64% |
| 14.03 | 63% |
| 14.04 | 62% |
| 14.05 | 62% |
| 14.06 | 61% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 12.05-12.06 | 7% | 731 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.07-12.08 | 8% | 757 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.09-12.10 | 8% | 784 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.11-12.12 | 7% | 665 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.01-13.02 | <1% | 18 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.03-13.04 | <1% | 20 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.05-13.06 | <1% | 22 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.07-13.08 | <1% | 32 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.09-13.10 | <1% | 44 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.11-13.12 | <1% | 52 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.01-14.02 | 1% | 115 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.03-14.04 | 1% | 140 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.05-14.06 | 1% | 113 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.07-14.08 | 1% | 123 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.09-14.10 | 1% | 143 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11-14.12 | 1% | 142 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01-15.02 | 4% | 406 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03-15.04 | 5% | 486 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05-15.06 | 4% | 417 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07-15.08 | 4% | 421 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 218 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 6889 simulations in which Trey Benson was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Emmett Johnson RB · KC 3%
- Mike Washington Jr. RB · LV 2%
- Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB · NYG 2%
- Kyler Murray QB · MIN 2%
Usually taken just after
- Emmett Johnson RB · KC 3%
- Jonah Coleman RB · DEN 3%
- Mike Washington Jr. RB · LV 2%
- Romeo Doubs WR · NE 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Trey Benson was selected in 6889 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.