NE · Bye 11
TreVeyon Henderson
LMD RB Tier 7 for Week 9 · 5.6 projected Standard points · RB48 rest of season
Questionable
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 5.6 points this week, RB Tier 7. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 1.5 - 12.0 points. Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 8% · Top 24: 21% of simulated weeks. Listed questionable.
Week 9
RB Tier 7
5.6 - 6.8 projected points
Rest of season
RB48
114th by projected points
Projected
5.6
week 9, Standard
Top 12
8%
Top 3: 1% · Top 24: 21% at RB
Movement
↓ 4
RB38 in Week 8, RB42 now
Should you start TreVeyon Henderson in Week 9?
Bench
Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks TreVeyon Henderson RB42 for Week 9, outside the RB24 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside RB24 in 21% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
LMD vs the draft market
RB42 vs RB32 -10
LMD has him RB42. The fantasy draft market has him RB32, 10 places higher.
Recent usage below his season baseline.
- Draft / market prior
- Slight positive+0.48 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Negative-0.92 pts
- AvailabilityUnresolved injury
- No mean changeWider range0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight negative-0.21 pts
- Betting markets
- No mean changeNarrower range-0.01 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Patriots Rule Out WR A.J. Brown & RB TreVeyon Henderson Week 9
yardbarker.com ·
-
Patriots Get Concerning News as TreVeyon Henderson Reveals Health Scare
newsweek.com ·
-
Pats RB TreVeyon Henderson addresses medical condition
yardbarker.com ·
-
TreVeyon Henderson out of practice on Wednesday
USA TODAY ·
-
STATUS
TreVeyon Henderson was listed as Questionable.
Let's Mock Draft ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to TreVeyon Henderson by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 6 completed games TreVeyon Henderson has averaged -2.3 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ SEA | 3.1 | Pending | — |
| Wk 2 | vs PIT | 5.3 | 13.6 | +8.3 |
| Wk 3 | @ JAX | 8.5 | 2.9 | -5.6 |
| Wk 4 | @ BUF | 7.3 | 4.2 | -3.1 |
| Wk 5 | vs LV | 8.8 | 3.8 | -5.0 |
| Wk 6 | vs NYJ | 7.5 | 2.0 | -5.5 |
| Wk 7 | @ CHI | 5.0 | 2.3 | -2.7 |
| Wk 8 | @ MIA | 5.4 | Pending | — |
| Wk 9 | vs GB | 5.6 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB24. For the rest of the season LMD has him 24 spots lower, at RB48.
Preseason market: RB24 · ADP 58.8
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB48 −24
LMD has him 24 spots lower than his RB24 draft price.
Week 9
RB42 −18
LMD has him 18 spots lower than his RB24 draft price.
Standard scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB24 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 53.5 points this season, RB48. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 2% of simulated seasons. That is 5.6 a game over 9.229 remaining games. Listed questionable.
Per game
5.6 / game
Over 9.229 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 2%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
thin
Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has TreVeyon Henderson #21 in 1QB and #30 in Superflex, RB10 at his position. Age 23.
1QB
#21
RB10 · tier 9 · of 300
Superflex
#30
RB10 · tier 8 · of 307
- Last season 188.7 pts 11.1 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 100% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 13.1 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 8% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
6.04
pick 63.7 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
6.03
half of simulations take him by pick 63
Draft range
5.05 - 7.03
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 6.03 in 55% of simulations
Pick 63 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 10, the same seat picks again at 7.10, where he is available in 2% of simulations.
Slot 10's remaining turns: 6.03 55% · 7.10 2% · 8.03 <1% · 9.10 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 5.10 and 6.09.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 6.01 | 65% |
| 6.02 | 60% |
| 6.03 | 55% |
| 6.04 | 50% |
| 6.05 | 45% |
| 6.06 | 40% |
| 6.07 | 35% |
| 6.08 | 31% |
| 6.09 | 27% |
| 6.10 | 23% |
| 6.11 | 20% |
| 6.12 | 17% |
| 7.01 | 15% |
| 7.02 | 12% |
| 7.03 | 10% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 5.05 | 2% | 195 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.06 | 2% | 184 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.07 | 3% | 250 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.08 | 3% | 265 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.09 | 3% | 342 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.10 | 4% | 434 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.11 | 4% | 431 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.12 | 5% | 455 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.01 | 5% | 499 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.02 | 5% | 511 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.03 | 6% | 550 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.04 | 5% | 508 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.05 | 5% | 501 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.06 | 5% | 458 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.07 | 4% | 431 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.08 | 4% | 409 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.09 | 4% | 363 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.10 | 3% | 322 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.11 | 3% | 275 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.12 | 2% | 249 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.01 | 2% | 233 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.02 | 2% | 202 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.03 | 2% | 189 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which TreVeyon Henderson was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAX 4%
- Jadarian Price RB · SEA 4%
- Rhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 3%
- Luther Burden III WR · CHI 3%
Usually taken just after
- Rhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 4%
- Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAX 4%
- Jadarian Price RB · SEA 3%
- Jaylen Warren RB · PIT 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
TreVeyon Henderson was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of November 5, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-11-05)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.