HOU · Bye 8
Tank Dell
LMD WR81 rest of season · 85.3 projected Half PPR points
Reserve list (IR-R)
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 85.3 points this season, WR81. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 2% of simulated seasons. That is 7.9 a game over 10.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR-R), so the season projection prices the games he misses.
Rest of season
WR81
148th by projected points
Projected
85.3
rest of season, Half PPR
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 2% at WR
Movement
NEW
Not ranked in the previous board
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
STATUS
Tank Dell was ruled IR.
Let's Mock Draft ·
-
ADP UPDATE
Tank Dell's ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 150.4 to 162.5 over the last 8 days.
Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Weekly performance vs. LMD projections will appear once games begin.
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 85.3 points this season, WR81. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 2% of simulated seasons. That is 7.9 a game over 10.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR-R), so the season projection prices the games he misses.
Per game
7.9 / game
Over 10.825 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 2%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD does not currently assign Tank Dell a differentiated dynasty rank. Age 26.
The model prices him at replacement level for the next three seasons and does not separate him from the several hundred players it prices the same way, so it assigns no rank rather than an invented one.
- Last season 114.5 pts 8.2 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 36% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 2 seasons Played in 2 of his 3 seasons in the window the model reads.
- Touches 3.6 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 10% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.10
pick 205.6 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.10
half of simulations take him by pick 206
Draft range
15.06 - 15.14
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 2,376 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.10 in 89% of simulations
Pick 206 overall in a 14-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.08 and 15.12.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.08 | 94% |
| 15.09 | 92% |
| 15.10 | 89% |
| 15.11 | 86% |
| 15.12 | 84% |
| 15.13 | 81% |
| 15.14 | 79% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 15.05 | 1% | 104 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 178 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 2% | 203 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 3% | 271 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 3% | 254 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 3% | 265 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 239 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 3% | 260 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.13 | 3% | 265 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.14 | 3% | 258 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 2376 simulations in which Tank Dell was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Kayshon Boutte WR · HOU 4%
- Antonio Williams WR · WAS 4%
- Jalen McMillan WR · TB 3%
- Pat Bryant WR · DEN 3%
Usually taken just after
- Jalen McMillan WR · TB 3%
- Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 3%
- Pat Bryant WR · DEN 3%
- Ja'Kobi Lane WR · BAL 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Tank Dell was selected in 2376 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.