CIN · Bye 6 · Rookie
Colbie Young
Colbie Young comes off the board at 4.04 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie mock drafts, with a median of 4.05.
12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie · 10,000 simulations · generated September 17, 2026
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Weekly performance vs. LMD projections will appear once games begin.
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Colbie Young #266 in 1QB and #273 in Superflex, WR106 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 24.
1QB
#266
WR106 · tier 63 · of 297 · rookie 48 of 52
Superflex
#273
WR106 · tier 56 · of 303 · rookie 50 of 52
- Draft capital Round 4, pick 140 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Dynasty rankings Dynasty WR rankings Dynasty rookie rankings
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
4.04
pick 39.6 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
4.05
half of simulations take him by pick 41
Draft range
3.05 - 4.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 8,309 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 4.05 in 61% of simulations
Pick 41 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 3.12 and 4.09.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 4.03 | 69% |
| 4.04 | 65% |
| 4.05 | 61% |
| 4.06 | 56% |
| 4.07 | 51% |
| 4.08 | 46% |
| 4.09 | 40% |
| 4.10 | 34% |
| 4.11 | 28% |
| 4.12 | 23% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 3.05 | 2% | 210 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.06 | 2% | 198 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.07 | 2% | 217 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.08 | 2% | 179 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.09 | 2% | 226 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.10 | 2% | 172 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.11 | 2% | 209 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.12 | 2% | 205 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.01 | 4% | 404 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.02 | 4% | 408 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.03 | 4% | 435 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.04 | 4% | 432 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.05 | 4% | 437 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.06 | 5% | 548 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.07 | 5% | 517 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.08 | 5% | 537 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.09 | 6% | 570 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.10 | 6% | 598 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.11 | 6% | 572 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 8309 simulations in which Colbie Young was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Bryce Lance WR · NO 5%
- Skyler Bell WR · BUF 5%
- Kaden Wetjen WR · PIT 5%
- Reggie Virgil WR · ARI 4%
Usually taken just after
- Reggie Virgil WR · ARI 5%
- Kaden Wetjen WR · PIT 5%
- Skyler Bell WR · BUF 5%
- Bryce Lance WR · NO 5%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Colbie Young was selected in 8309 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.