SF · Bye 8
Ricky Pearsall
LMD WR150 rest of season · 38.0 projected Half PPR points
Reserve list (IR)
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 38.0 points this season, WR150. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 3.9 a game over 9.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses.
Rest of season
WR150
275th by projected points
Projected
38.0
rest of season, Half PPR
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 0% at WR
Movement
NEW
Not ranked in the previous board
Half PPR scoring · Updated October 8, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Weekly performance vs. LMD projections will appear once games begin.
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 38.0 points this season, WR150. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 3.9 a game over 9.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses.
Per game
3.9 / game
Over 9.825 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 8, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Ricky Pearsall #189 in 1QB and #194 in Superflex, WR80 at his position. Age 25.
1QB
#189
WR80 · tier 42 · of 297
Superflex
#194
WR80 · tier 36 · of 303
- Last season 70.6 pts 7.8 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 57% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 2 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 5.5 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 16% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.05
pick 172.9 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.05
half of simulations take him by pick 173
Draft range
14.11 - 15.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 3,887 of them
Filters
League format
Nothing is published for every setting in that link, so this is the closest configuration we have simulated for Ricky Pearsall.
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.05 in 82% of simulations
Pick 173 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.01 and 15.09.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.03 | 86% |
| 15.04 | 84% |
| 15.05 | 82% |
| 15.06 | 79% |
| 15.07 | 77% |
| 15.08 | 74% |
| 15.09 | 72% |
| 15.10 | 69% |
| 15.11 | 67% |
| 15.12 | 64% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.11 | 3% | 272 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12 | 3% | 286 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 2% | 248 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 3% | 283 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 2% | 242 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 2% | 245 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 3% | 250 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 238 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 2% | 243 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 244 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 248 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 3% | 250 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 3% | 263 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 3887 simulations in which Ricky Pearsall was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Kimani Vidal RB · LAC 3%
- DeMario Douglas WR · NE 3%
- Chris Brazzell II WR · CAR 3%
- Jalen Coker WR · CAR 3%
Usually taken just after
- Brashard Smith RB · KC 3%
- Kimani Vidal RB · LAC 3%
- Ted Hurst III WR · TB 2%
- Travis Hunter WR · JAX 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Ricky Pearsall was selected in 3887 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 8, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.