DEN · Bye 10
Pat Bryant
Pat Bryant comes off the board at 15.06 on average in 14-team Half PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 15.06.
14-team Half PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated November 5, 2026
Updates
Recent updates
-
STATUS
Pat Bryant was ruled IR.
Let's Mock Draft ·
-
Broncos Week 5 fantasy football injury report vs. Chargers: Courtland Sutton, Jaylen Waddle impact with Pat Bryant out
Yahoo Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Pat Bryant by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 4 completed games Pat Bryant has averaged +2.5 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ KC | 3.4 | 6.2 | +2.8 |
| Wk 2 | vs JAX | 4.5 | 1.6 | -2.9 |
| Wk 3 | vs LAR | 5.1 | 13.4 | +8.3 |
| Wk 4 | @ SF | 4.5 | 6.2 | +1.7 |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Pat Bryant #193 in 1QB and #198 in Superflex, WR84 at his position. Age 23.
1QB
#193
WR84 · tier 43 · of 300
Superflex
#198
WR84 · tier 37 · of 307
- Last season 59.3 pts 4.6 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 76% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 3.8 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 11% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.06
pick 201.6 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.06
half of simulations take him by pick 202
Draft range
14.12 - 15.13
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 4,370 of them
Filters
League format
Nothing is published for every setting in that link, so this is the closest configuration we have simulated for Pat Bryant.
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.06 in 80% of simulations
Pick 202 overall in a 14-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.02 and 15.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.04 | 86% |
| 15.05 | 83% |
| 15.06 | 80% |
| 15.07 | 77% |
| 15.08 | 75% |
| 15.09 | 72% |
| 15.10 | 69% |
| 15.11 | 67% |
| 15.12 | 64% |
| 15.13 | 62% |
| 15.14 | 59% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.12 | <1% | 97 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.13 | <1% | 95 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.14 | 1% | 117 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 2% | 249 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 2% | 222 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 3% | 252 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 3% | 269 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 3% | 267 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 3% | 286 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 3% | 265 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 3% | 270 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 3% | 267 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 3% | 275 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 233 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 3% | 267 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.13 | 3% | 269 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 4370 simulations in which Pat Bryant was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Ja'Kobi Lane WR · BAL 3%
- Eddy Pineiro K · SF 3%
- Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ 3%
- Wil Lutz K · DEN 3%
Usually taken just after
- Kayshon Boutte WR · HOU 3%
- Jalen Nailor WR · LV 3%
- Wil Lutz K · DEN 3%
- Jalen McMillan WR · TB 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Pat Bryant was selected in 4370 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.