GB · Bye 11
Josh Jacobs
LMD RB33 rest of season · 109.8 projected Standard points
Out this week
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 109.8 points this season, RB33. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 22% of simulated seasons. That is 8.0 a game over 14 remaining games. Ruled out this week, so this projection is for the games after it. Up 26 since the Sept. 20 board.
Rest of season
RB33
61st by projected points
Projected
109.8
rest of season, Standard
Top 12
1%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 22% at RB
Movement
↑ 26
RB59 on Sept. 20, RB33 now
Standard scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
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Josh Jacobs' ex Ash Kaash drops 2-word message as Travis Hunter's wife Leanna turns "Badddieeee" in custom Jaguars outfit
sportskeeda.com ·
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Josh Jacobs’ Absence Leaves Jordan Love Facing A Bigger Challenge With Green Bay Packers
sports.ndtv.com ·
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Josh Jacobs' Absence Leaves Jordan Love Facing A Bigger Challenge
sports.ndtv.com ·
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Major update emerges on Packers RB Josh Jacobs’ potential NFL suspension
bundle.app ·
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Green Bay Packers running back Josh Jacobs’ court hearing set for Sept. 24
tmj4.com ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Josh Jacobs by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
No completed game has both a pregame projection and a published result yet.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ MIN | 4.0 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB30. For the rest of the season LMD has him 3 spots lower, at RB33.
Preseason market: RB30 · ADP 78.0
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB33 −3
LMD has him 3 spots lower than his RB30 draft price.
This week
Not ranked this week — a bye or a ruling out takes a player off the weekly board rather than ranking him last.
Standard scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB30 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 109.8 points this season, RB33. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 22% of simulated seasons. That is 8.0 a game over 14 remaining games. Ruled out this week, so this projection is for the games after it. Up 26 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
8.0 / game
Over 14 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 22%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Josh Jacobs #45 in 1QB and #55 in Superflex, RB17 at his position. Age 28.
1QB
#45
RB17 · tier 14 · of 297
Superflex
#55
RB17 · tier 11 · of 303
- Last season 219.1 pts 14.6 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 89% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 19.8 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 10% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
6.05
pick 65.0 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
6.05
half of simulations take him by pick 65
Draft range
4.01 - 8.05
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 6.05 in 52% of simulations
Pick 65 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 8, the same seat picks again at 7.08, where he is available in 26% of simulations.
Slot 8's remaining turns: 6.05 52% · 7.08 26% · 8.05 11% · 9.08 <1% · 10.05 <1% · 11.08 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 5.04 and 7.08.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 6.03 | 56% |
| 6.04 | 54% |
| 6.05 | 52% |
| 6.06 | 50% |
| 6.07 | 48% |
| 6.08 | 46% |
| 6.09 | 44% |
| 6.10 | 42% |
| 6.11 | 41% |
| 6.12 | 39% |
| 7.01 | 37% |
| 7.02 | 36% |
| 7.03 | 34% |
| 7.04 | 33% |
| 7.05 | 31% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 4.01-4.03 | 3% | 268 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.04-4.06 | 3% | 260 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.07-4.09 | 3% | 303 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.10-4.12 | 3% | 320 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.01-5.03 | 3% | 310 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.04-5.06 | 4% | 418 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.07-5.09 | 5% | 492 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.10-5.12 | 6% | 645 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.01-6.03 | 6% | 614 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.04-6.06 | 6% | 617 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.07-6.09 | 6% | 570 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.10-6.12 | 5% | 487 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.01-7.03 | 5% | 466 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.04-7.06 | 5% | 480 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.07-7.09 | 5% | 502 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.10-7.12 | 6% | 560 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.01-8.03 | 5% | 474 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.04-8.05 | 3% | 257 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Josh Jacobs was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- TreVeyon Henderson RB · NE 2%
- Jaylen Warren RB · PIT 2%
- Colston Loveland TE · CHI 2%
- Jalen Hurts QB · PHI 2%
Usually taken just after
- Tony Pollard RB · TEN 2%
- TreVeyon Henderson RB · NE 2%
- Jadarian Price RB · SEA 2%
- Rhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Josh Jacobs was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.