TEN · Bye 9
Gunnar Helm
LMD TE31 rest of season · 48.1 projected Half PPR points
No game this week
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 48.1 points this season, TE31. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 3% · Top 24: 23% of simulated seasons. That is 5.5 a game over 8.889 remaining games. No game this week. Up 1 since the Nov. 4 board.
Rest of season
TE31
163rd by projected points
Projected
48.1
rest of season, Half PPR
Top 12
3%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 23% at TE
Movement
↑ 1
TE32 on Nov. 4, TE31 now
LMD vs the draft market
TE31 vs TE51 +20
LMD has him TE31. The fantasy draft market has him TE51, 20 places lower.
Recent usage above his season baseline.
Half PPR scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 7 completed games Gunnar Helm has averaged +0.1 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs NYJ | 3.6 | 4.8 | +1.2 |
| Wk 2 | vs PHI | 3.9 | 2.3 | -1.6 |
| Wk 3 | @ NYG | 4.6 | 2.4 | -2.2 |
| Wk 4 | @ BAL | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 |
| Wk 5 | vs HOU | 4.3 | 0.0 | -4.3 |
| Wk 6 | @ IND | 3.0 | Pending | — |
| Wk 7 | vs CLE | 3.1 | 3.9 | +0.8 |
| Wk 8 | @ CIN | 4.0 | 12.1 | +8.1 |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 48.1 points this season, TE31. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 3% · Top 24: 23% of simulated seasons. That is 5.5 a game over 8.889 remaining games. No game this week. Up 1 since the Nov. 4 board.
Per game
5.5 / game
Over 8.889 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 3% · Top 24: 23%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at TE
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Gunnar Helm #164 in 1QB and #166 in Superflex, TE21 at his position. Age 23.
1QB
#164
TE21 · tier 38 · of 300
Superflex
#166
TE21 · tier 31 · of 307
- Last season 69.7 pts 4.4 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 94% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 3.4 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 11% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.08
pick 175.6 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.08
half of simulations take him by pick 176
Draft range
15.04 - 15.12
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 1,462 of them
Filters
League format
Nothing is published for every setting in that link, so this is the closest configuration we have simulated for Gunnar Helm.
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.08 in 94% of simulations
Pick 176 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.06 and 15.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.06 | 96% |
| 15.07 | 95% |
| 15.08 | 94% |
| 15.09 | 92% |
| 15.10 | 90% |
| 15.11 | 89% |
| 15.12 | 87% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 15.03 | <1% | 53 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | <1% | 92 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 1% | 132 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 1% | 120 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 1% | 133 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 173 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 162 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 175 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 176 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 2% | 158 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 1462 simulations in which Gunnar Helm was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- De'Zhaun Stribling WR · SF 3%
- Tyjae Spears RB · TEN 3%
- C.J. Stroud QB · HOU 3%
- Colby Parkinson TE · LAR 3%
Usually taken just after
- De'Zhaun Stribling WR · SF 3%
- Kyler Murray QB · MIN 2%
- Theo Johnson TE · NYG 2%
- Will Reichard K · MIN 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Gunnar Helm was selected in 1462 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.