NYG · Bye 8
Theo Johnson
Theo Johnson comes off the board at 14.06 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 14.11.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
14.06
pick 161.7 overall, on average
Median pick
14.11
half of simulations take him by pick 167
Draft range
12.09 - 15.10
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 3,940 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 14.11 in 80% of simulations
Pick 167 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 2, the same seat picks again at 15.02, where he is available in 77% of simulations.
Slot 2's remaining turns: 14.11 80% · 15.02 77%
The middle half of simulations take him between 12.12 and 15.06.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 14.09 | 82% |
| 14.10 | 81% |
| 14.11 | 80% |
| 14.12 | 80% |
| 15.01 | 79% |
| 15.02 | 77% |
| 15.03 | 76% |
| 15.04 | 75% |
| 15.05 | 73% |
| 15.06 | 72% |
| 15.07 | 70% |
| 15.08 | 68% |
| 15.09 | 67% |
| 15.10 | 65% |
| 15.11 | 64% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 12.09-12.10 | 4% | 424 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.11-12.12 | 5% | 457 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.01-13.02 | <1% | 36 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.03-13.04 | <1% | 42 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.05-13.06 | <1% | 50 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.07-13.08 | <1% | 49 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.09-13.10 | <1% | 42 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.11-13.12 | <1% | 49 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.01-14.02 | 1% | 119 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.03-14.04 | 1% | 114 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.05-14.06 | 1% | 120 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.07-14.08 | 1% | 114 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.09-14.10 | 2% | 153 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11-14.12 | 2% | 165 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01-15.02 | 3% | 276 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03-15.04 | 3% | 293 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05-15.06 | 3% | 296 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07-15.08 | 3% | 320 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09-15.10 | 3% | 334 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 3940 simulations in which Theo Johnson was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Harrison Butker K · KC 2%
- Seattle Seahawks DST · SEA 2%
- Jalen Coker WR · CAR 2%
- Chris Boswell K · PIT 2%
Usually taken just after
- Brandon Aubrey K · DAL 3%
- Jake Bates K · DET 2%
- De'Zhaun Stribling WR · SF 2%
- Seattle Seahawks DST · SEA 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Theo Johnson was selected in 3940 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.