HOU · Bye 8
Dalton Schultz
LMD TE Tier 5 for Week 9 · 5.2 projected Standard points · TE15 rest of season
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 5.2 points this week, TE Tier 5. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 1.4 - 10.9 points. Top 3: 6% · Top 12: 23% · Top 24: 47% of simulated weeks.
Week 9
TE Tier 5
5.2 - 5.9 projected points
Rest of season
TE15
116th by projected points
Projected
5.2
week 9, Standard
Top 12
23%
Top 3: 6% · Top 24: 47% at TE
Movement
NEW
Not ranked at TE in Week 8
Should you start Dalton Schultz in Week 9?
Borderline
It is close. LMD ranks Dalton Schultz TE18 for Week 9, just outside the TE12 starter line. He finishes inside TE12 in 23% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
LMD vs the draft market
TE18 vs TE23 +5
LMD has him TE18. The fantasy draft market has him TE23, 5 places lower.
Our projection is higher than the outside forecast.
- Draft / market prior
- Slight negative-0.18 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Positive+0.53 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight negative-0.17 pts
- Betting markets
- Slight negative-0.13 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Dalton Schultz delivers brutal putdown to Greg Abbott after Texas defeat
the-express.com ·
-
Texans tight end Dalton Schultz had fiery message for Greg Abbott after election loss
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Dalton Schultz totals five receptions in Week 7
Yahoo Sports ·
-
STATUS
Dalton Schultz is no longer listed on the injury report.
Let's Mock Draft ·
-
LB Azeez Al-Shaair, TE Dalton Schultz, OT Trent Brown return to practice Thursday
NBC Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Dalton Schultz by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 7 completed games Dalton Schultz has averaged -0.6 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs BUF | 3.2 | 3.5 | +0.3 |
| Wk 2 | vs CIN | 4.3 | 14.0 | +9.7 |
| Wk 3 | @ IND | 7.8 | 3.0 | -4.8 |
| Wk 4 | vs DAL | 6.2 | 0.9 | -5.3 |
| Wk 5 | @ TEN | 5.3 | 3.0 | -2.3 |
| Wk 6 | @ JAX | 4.5 | 3.3 | -1.2 |
| Wk 7 | vs NYG | 4.8 | 4.5 | -0.3 |
| Wk 9 | @ LAC | 5.2 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 52.9 points this season, TE15. Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 32% · Top 24: 74% of simulated seasons. That is 5.1 a game over 9.983 remaining games.
Per game
5.1 / game
Over 9.983 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 32% · Top 24: 74%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at TE
Market input
thin
Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Dalton Schultz #160 in 1QB and #161 in Superflex, TE20 at his position. Age 30.
1QB
#160
TE20 · tier 37 · of 300
Superflex
#161
TE20 · tier 30 · of 307
- Last season 136.7 pts 8.0 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 98% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 5.8 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 18% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
11.08
pick 127.6 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
11.05
half of simulations take him by pick 125
Draft range
10.04 - 12.10
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,796 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 11.05 in 52% of simulations
Pick 125 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 5, the same seat picks again at 12.08, where he is available in 15% of simulations.
Slot 5's remaining turns: 11.05 52% · 12.08 15% · 13.05 9% · 14.08 8% · 15.05 5%
The middle half of simulations take him between 10.09 and 12.01.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 11.03 | 58% |
| 11.04 | 55% |
| 11.05 | 52% |
| 11.06 | 49% |
| 11.07 | 46% |
| 11.08 | 42% |
| 11.09 | 39% |
| 11.10 | 37% |
| 11.11 | 34% |
| 11.12 | 31% |
| 12.01 | 29% |
| 12.02 | 26% |
| 12.03 | 24% |
| 12.04 | 22% |
| 12.05 | 20% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 10.04-10.05 | 6% | 595 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.06-10.07 | 6% | 620 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.08-10.09 | 6% | 637 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.10-10.11 | 6% | 640 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.12-11.01 | 6% | 641 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.02-11.03 | 7% | 655 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.04-11.05 | 6% | 620 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.06-11.07 | 6% | 642 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.08-11.09 | 6% | 572 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.10-11.11 | 6% | 574 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.12-12.01 | 5% | 478 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.02-12.03 | 4% | 403 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.04-12.05 | 4% | 411 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.06-12.07 | 3% | 294 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.08-12.09 | 3% | 258 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.10 | 1% | 114 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9796 simulations in which Dalton Schultz was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Jake Ferguson TE · DAL 3%
- Dallas Goedert TE · PHI 3%
- Juwan Johnson TE · NO 3%
- Mark Andrews TE · BAL 2%
Usually taken just after
- Kenny Gainwell RB · TB 3%
- Travis Kelce TE · KC 3%
- Juwan Johnson TE · NO 3%
- Jake Ferguson TE · DAL 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Dalton Schultz was selected in 9796 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of November 5, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-11-05)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.