MIA · Bye 6
Malik Willis
Malik Willis comes off the board at 15.04 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 15.05.
12-team Half PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
15.04
pick 171.7 overall, on average
Median pick
15.05
half of simulations take him by pick 173
Draft range
14.07 - 15.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 2,749 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.05 in 87% of simulations
Pick 173 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.01 and 15.09.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.03 | 91% |
| 15.04 | 89% |
| 15.05 | 87% |
| 15.06 | 85% |
| 15.07 | 83% |
| 15.08 | 82% |
| 15.09 | 80% |
| 15.10 | 78% |
| 15.11 | 76% |
| 15.12 | 74% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.07 | <1% | 57 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08 | <1% | 50 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.09 | <1% | 57 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10 | <1% | 66 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11 | <1% | 59 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12 | <1% | 69 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 1% | 142 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 2% | 160 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 2% | 198 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 2% | 181 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 2% | 155 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 192 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 2% | 181 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 175 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 172 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 205 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 182 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 2749 simulations in which Malik Willis was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Jake Bates K · DET 3%
- Harrison Butker K · KC 3%
- Seattle Seahawks DST · SEA 3%
- Los Angeles Chargers DST · LAC 3%
Usually taken just after
- Jake Bates K · DET 3%
- Harrison Butker K · KC 3%
- Seattle Seahawks DST · SEA 2%
- Andy Borregales K · NE 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Malik Willis was selected in 2749 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.