NFL · 2026 Week 6
2026 Week 6 Full PPR TE Rankings
Final pre-kickoff board · published October 15, 2026, 21:56 UTC · first kickoff October 16, 2026, 00:15 UTC
Full PPR, 1QB · 106 players projected · updated October 15, 2026
How these rankings work
How these rankings are built
We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.
We then update those expectations for Week 6 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.
We then simulate the week 4,000 times and rank players by the projected fantasy points those simulations produce.
This board is priced in Full PPR. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.
What the percentages mean
For every simulation, we also record where each player finishes at his position.
- Top 3
- how often he finishes among the top three at his position
- Top 12
- how often he finishes in the top 12
- Top 24
- how often he finishes in the top 24
A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished as a top-12 WR in 58% of the simulated weeks.
How often a strong start lasts
Since 1999, 69% of TEs inside the top 12 through Week 5 finished the season inside the top 12. Measured over 324 TE-seasons from 1999-2025, in the same scoring rule as this board.
What stood out in Week 6
106 TEs ranked for Week 6. Brock Bowers leads at 18.2 projected points.
Tier breaks
2.3 projected points separate TE2 Trey McBride from TE3 Isaiah Likely.
2.1 projected points separate TE5 Tyler Warren from TE6 Juwan Johnson.
Biggest differences from the draft market
Ahead
- Eli RaridonTE33Recent usage above his season baselineTop 3: 1% · Top 12: 9% · Top 24: 24% +21 vs. TE54
- Tommy TrembleTE28Our projection is higher than the outside forecastTop 3: 3% · Top 12: 14% · Top 24: 31% +18 vs. TE46
- Elijah HigginsTE36Recent usage above his season baseline +17 vs. TE53
Behind
- Noah GrayTE38Our projection is lower than the outside forecast -4 vs. TE34
Movement
Risers
- Pat FreiermuthTE9Top 3: 10% · Top 12: 40% · Top 24: 63% ↑ 12
- Dallas GoedertTE10Top 3: 12% · Top 12: 38% · Top 24: 61% ↑ 7
- Isaiah LikelyTE3Top 3: 24% · Top 12: 62% · Top 24: 83% ↑ 4
Fallers
- Dalton SchultzTE18Top 3: 4% · Top 12: 25% · Top 24: 52% ↓ 6
- Harold Fannin Jr.TE13Top 3: 9% · Top 12: 35% · Top 24: 59% ↓ 5
- Dalton KincaidTE15Top 3: 7% · Top 12: 33% · Top 24: 60% ↓ 4
Positional movement since the final Week 5 board, among players inside TE12 either week. Players not ranked at their position then are excluded.
| # | Pos | Player | Pos rank | Proj | Outcome profile | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TE | Brock BowersLVQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 32% of the time, 4th to 12th 32%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 18%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE8 at the median, TE2 - TE19 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE31 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 32%Top 12: 64%Top 24: 82% |
TE1↑ 1 | 18.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 32% of the time, 4th to 12th 32%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 18%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE8 at the median, TE2 - TE19 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE31 in the middle 80%. | |
| 2 | TE | Trey McBrideARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 30% of the time, 4th to 12th 38%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 13%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE7 at the median, TE3 - TE16 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE26 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 30%Top 12: 68%Top 24: 87% |
TE2↓ 1 | 17.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 30% of the time, 4th to 12th 38%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 13%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE7 at the median, TE3 - TE16 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE26 in the middle 80%. | |
| 3 | TE | Isaiah LikelyNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 24% of the time, 4th to 12th 38%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 17%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE9 at the median, TE4 - TE19 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE30 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 24%Top 12: 62%Top 24: 83% |
TE3↑ 4 | 15.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 24% of the time, 4th to 12th 38%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 17%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE9 at the median, TE4 - TE19 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE30 in the middle 80%. | |
| 4 | TE | George KittleSF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 19% of the time, 4th to 12th 36%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 21%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE11 at the median, TE5 - TE22 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE31 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 19%Top 12: 55%Top 24: 79% |
TE4— | 13.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 19% of the time, 4th to 12th 36%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 21%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE11 at the median, TE5 - TE22 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE31 in the middle 80%. | |
| 5 | TE | Tyler WarrenIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 20% of the time, 4th to 12th 35%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 22%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE11 at the median, TE4 - TE23 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE32 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 20%Top 12: 54%Top 24: 78% |
TE5— | 13.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 20% of the time, 4th to 12th 35%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 22%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE11 at the median, TE4 - TE23 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE32 in the middle 80%. | |
| 6 | TE | Juwan JohnsonNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 31%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 31%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE15 at the median, TE7 - TE27 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE37 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 13%Top 12: 44%Top 24: 69% |
TE6↑ 3 | 11.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 31%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 31%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE15 at the median, TE7 - TE27 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE37 in the middle 80%. | |
| 7 | TE | Tucker KraftGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 33%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 31%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE15 at the median, TE7 - TE27 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE37 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 12%Top 12: 44%Top 24: 69% |
TE7↑ 3 | 11.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 33%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 31%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE15 at the median, TE7 - TE27 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE37 in the middle 80%. | |
| 8 | TE | Travis KelceKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 30%, 13th to 24th 28%, and outside the top 24 32%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE16 at the median, TE7 - TE28 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE37 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 41%Top 24: 68% |
TE8NEW | 11.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 30%, 13th to 24th 28%, and outside the top 24 32%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE16 at the median, TE7 - TE28 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE37 in the middle 80%. | |
| 9 | TE | Pat FreiermuthPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 30%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 37%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE17 at the median, TE8 - TE31 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE41 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 40%Top 24: 63% |
TE9↑ 12 | 10.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 30%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 37%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE17 at the median, TE8 - TE31 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE41 in the middle 80%. | |
| 10 | TE | Dallas GoedertPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 39%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE18 at the median, TE8 - TE32 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE44 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 12%Top 12: 38%Top 24: 61% |
TE10↑ 7 | 10.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 39%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE18 at the median, TE8 - TE32 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE44 in the middle 80%. | |
| 11 | TE | Brenton StrangeJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 27%, and outside the top 24 36%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE18 at the median, TE9 - TE29 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE39 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 36%Top 24: 64% |
TE11↑ 4 | 10.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 27%, and outside the top 24 36%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE18 at the median, TE9 - TE29 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE39 in the middle 80%. | |
| 12 | TE | Mark AndrewsBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 39%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE19 at the median, TE9 - TE32 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE42 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 36%Top 24: 61% |
TE12↑ 2 | 10.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 39%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE19 at the median, TE9 - TE32 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE42 in the middle 80%. | |
| 13 | TE | Harold Fannin Jr.CLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 41%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE20 at the median, TE9 - TE33 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE44 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 35%Top 24: 59% |
TE13↓ 5 | 9.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 41%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE20 at the median, TE9 - TE33 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE44 in the middle 80%. | |
| 14 | TE | Tyler HigbeeLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 42%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE21 at the median, TE9 - TE33 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE43 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 58% |
TE14↑ 8 | 9.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 42%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE21 at the median, TE9 - TE33 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE43 in the middle 80%. | |
| 15 | TE | Dalton KincaidBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 28%, and outside the top 24 40%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE20 at the median, TE10 - TE31 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE41 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 60% |
TE15↓ 4 | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 28%, and outside the top 24 40%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE20 at the median, TE10 - TE31 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE41 in the middle 80%. | |
| 16 | TE | Colston LovelandCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 47%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE23 at the median, TE11 - TE34 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE45 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 53% |
TE16↓ 3 | 8.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 47%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE23 at the median, TE11 - TE34 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE45 in the middle 80%. | |
| 17 | TE | Michael MayerLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE25 at the median, TE12 - TE36 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE46 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 49% |
TE17↑ 1 | 8.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE25 at the median, TE12 - TE36 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE46 in the middle 80%. | |
| 18 | TE | Dalton SchultzHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 27%, and outside the top 24 48%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE24 at the median, TE13 - TE34 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE45 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 52% |
TE18↓ 6 | 8.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 27%, and outside the top 24 48%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE24 at the median, TE13 - TE34 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE45 in the middle 80%. | |
| 19 | TE | Jake FergusonDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE25 at the median, TE12 - TE37 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE49 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 49% |
TE19↑ 4 | 8.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE25 at the median, TE12 - TE37 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE49 in the middle 80%. | |
| 20 | TE | Darren WallerCARQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 54%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE27 at the median, TE12 - TE41 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE55 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 46% |
TE20NEW | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 54%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE27 at the median, TE12 - TE41 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE55 in the middle 80%. | |
| 21 | TE | Cade OttonTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 52%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE26 at the median, TE13 - TE37 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE48 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 48% |
TE21↑ 3 | 7.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 52%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE26 at the median, TE13 - TE37 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE48 in the middle 80%. | |
| 22 | TE | Hunter HenryNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE27 at the median, TE13 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE50 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 44% |
TE22↓ 2 | 7.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE27 at the median, TE13 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE50 in the middle 80%. | |
| 23 | TE | Kyle PittsATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 54%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE26 at the median, TE13 - TE38 in the middle half, and TE7 - TE49 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 22%Top 24: 46% |
TE23↑ 5 | 7.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 54%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE26 at the median, TE13 - TE38 in the middle half, and TE7 - TE49 in the middle 80%. | |
| 24 | TE | AJ BarnerSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 55%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE27 at the median, TE13 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE7 - TE51 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 45% |
TE24↑ 2 | 7.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 55%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE27 at the median, TE13 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE7 - TE51 in the middle 80%. | |
| 25 | TE | Kenyon SadiqNYJQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE29 at the median, TE14 - TE44 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE60 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 42% |
TE25↓ 9 | 7.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE29 at the median, TE14 - TE44 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE60 in the middle 80%. | |
| 26 | TE | Darnell WashingtonPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE32 at the median, TE19 - TE45 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE57 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 34% |
TE26↑ 4 | 6.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE32 at the median, TE19 - TE45 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE57 in the middle 80%. | |
| 27 | TE | Chig OkonkwoWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 65%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE31 at the median, TE19 - TE44 in the middle half, and TE10 - TE57 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 15%Top 24: 35% |
TE27↑ 5 | 6.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 65%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE31 at the median, TE19 - TE44 in the middle half, and TE10 - TE57 in the middle 80%. | |
| 28 | TE | Tommy TrembleCARQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE35 at the median, TE20 - TE52 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE70 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 31% |
TE28NEW | 5.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE35 at the median, TE20 - TE52 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE70 in the middle 80%. | |
| 29 | TE | Evan EngramDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE35 at the median, TE22 - TE47 in the middle half, and TE12 - TE59 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 29% |
TE29↑ 4 | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE35 at the median, TE22 - TE47 in the middle half, and TE12 - TE59 in the middle 80%. | |
| 30 | TE | Oronde Gadsden IILAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE37 at the median, TE21 - TE52 in the middle half, and TE11 - TE66 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 29% |
TE30↓ 5 | 5.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE37 at the median, TE21 - TE52 in the middle half, and TE11 - TE66 in the middle 80%. | |
| 31 | TE | Michael TriggDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE38 at the median, TE22 - TE57 in the middle half, and TE10 - TE74 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 28% |
TE31↑ 19 | 5.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE38 at the median, TE22 - TE57 in the middle half, and TE10 - TE74 in the middle 80%. | |
| 32 | TE | Ja'Tavion SandersCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE40 at the median, TE22 - TE58 in the middle half, and TE10 - TE77 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 27% |
TE32NEW | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE40 at the median, TE22 - TE58 in the middle half, and TE10 - TE77 in the middle 80%. | |
| 33 | TE | Eli RaridonNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE39 at the median, TE26 - TE53 in the middle half, and TE14 - TE67 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 24% |
TE33↑ 22 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE39 at the median, TE26 - TE53 in the middle half, and TE14 - TE67 in the middle 80%. | |
| 34 | TE | Mason TaylorNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE43 at the median, TE28 - TE58 in the middle half, and TE15 - TE72 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 20% |
TE34↑ 5 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE43 at the median, TE28 - TE58 in the middle half, and TE15 - TE72 in the middle 80%. | |
| 35 | TE | Dawson KnoxBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE44 at the median, TE29 - TE59 in the middle half, and TE15 - TE73 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 20% |
TE35— | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE44 at the median, TE29 - TE59 in the middle half, and TE15 - TE73 in the middle 80%. | |
| 36 | TE | Elijah HigginsARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE44 at the median, TE29 - TE59 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE73 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 19% |
TE36↑ 5 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE44 at the median, TE29 - TE59 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE73 in the middle 80%. | |
| 37 | TE | Colby ParkinsonLARQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE47 at the median, TE30 - TE65 in the middle half, and TE14 - TE80 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 20% |
TE37— | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE47 at the median, TE30 - TE65 in the middle half, and TE14 - TE80 in the middle 80%. | |
| 38 | TE | Noah GrayKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE47 at the median, TE32 - TE63 in the middle half, and TE17 - TE78 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 17% |
TE38NEW | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE47 at the median, TE32 - TE63 in the middle half, and TE17 - TE78 in the middle 80%. | |
| 39 | TE | Chris MyarickLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE50 at the median, TE32 - TE68 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE85 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 19% |
TE39↑ 20 | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE50 at the median, TE32 - TE68 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE85 in the middle 80%. | |
| 40 | TE | Gunnar HelmTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE46 at the median, TE32 - TE60 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE74 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 16% |
TE40↓ 9 | 3.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE46 at the median, TE32 - TE60 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE74 in the middle 80%. | |
| 41 | TE | Mark RedmanGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE49 at the median, TE33 - TE67 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE83 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 16% |
TE41↑ 12 | 3.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE49 at the median, TE33 - TE67 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE83 in the middle 80%. | |
| 42 | TE | Noah FantNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE49 at the median, TE33 - TE63 in the middle half, and TE17 - TE77 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 17% |
TE42↓ 8 | 3.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE49 at the median, TE33 - TE63 in the middle half, and TE17 - TE77 in the middle 80%. | |
| 43 | TE | Foster MoreauHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE48 at the median, TE34 - TE62 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE75 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 15% |
TE43↑ 11 | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE48 at the median, TE34 - TE62 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE75 in the middle 80%. | |
| 44 | TE | Charlie KolarLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE47 at the median, TE33 - TE65 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE80 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 16% |
TE44↑ 36 | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE47 at the median, TE33 - TE65 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE80 in the middle 80%. | |
| 45 | TE | Austin HooperATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE48 at the median, TE33 - TE64 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE80 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 16% |
TE45↓ 2 | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE48 at the median, TE33 - TE64 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE80 in the middle 80%. | |
| 46 | TE | Theo JohnsonNYGQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE53 at the median, TE34 - TE72 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE88 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 15% |
TE46↑ 5 | 3.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE53 at the median, TE34 - TE72 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE88 in the middle 80%. | |
| 47 | TE | Jeremy RuckertNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE50 at the median, TE35 - TE66 in the middle half, and TE19 - TE80 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 14% |
TE47↓ 11 | 3.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE50 at the median, TE35 - TE66 in the middle half, and TE19 - TE80 in the middle 80%. | |
| 48 | TE | Patrick HerbertLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE54 at the median, TE35 - TE73 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE89 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 15% |
TE48↑ 20 | 3.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE54 at the median, TE35 - TE73 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE89 in the middle 80%. | |
| 49 | TE | Jonnu SmithGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE53 at the median, TE36 - TE70 in the middle half, and TE19 - TE85 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 14% |
TE49↓ 5 | 3.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE53 at the median, TE36 - TE70 in the middle half, and TE19 - TE85 in the middle 80%. | |
| 50 | TE | CJ DippreTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE57 at the median, TE39 - TE77 in the middle half, and TE21 - TE92 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12% |
TE50↓ 3 | 3.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE57 at the median, TE39 - TE77 in the middle half, and TE21 - TE92 in the middle 80%. | |
| 51 | TE | Albert OkwuegbunamLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE59 at the median, TE39 - TE78 in the middle half, and TE20 - TE94 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 13% |
TE51↑ 40 | 3.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE59 at the median, TE39 - TE78 in the middle half, and TE20 - TE94 in the middle 80%. | |
| 52 | TE | Cole KmetCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE54 at the median, TE39 - TE71 in the middle half, and TE21 - TE84 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 12% |
TE52↓ 12 | 3.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE54 at the median, TE39 - TE71 in the middle half, and TE21 - TE84 in the middle 80%. | |
| 53 | TE | Jack WestoverWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE60 at the median, TE41 - TE79 in the middle half, and TE22 - TE94 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12% |
TE53↑ 32 | 2.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE60 at the median, TE41 - TE79 in the middle half, and TE22 - TE94 in the middle 80%. | |
| 54 | TE | Jared WileyKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE60 at the median, TE41 - TE78 in the middle half, and TE22 - TE92 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
TE54NEW | 2.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE60 at the median, TE41 - TE78 in the middle half, and TE22 - TE92 in the middle 80%. | |
| 55 | TE | Davis AllenLARQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE60 at the median, TE42 - TE78 in the middle half, and TE23 - TE91 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
TE55↓ 3 | 2.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE60 at the median, TE42 - TE78 in the middle half, and TE23 - TE91 in the middle 80%. | |
| 56 | TE | Nate BoerkircherJAXQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE61 at the median, TE43 - TE80 in the middle half, and TE25 - TE92 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10% |
TE56↑ 1 | 2.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE61 at the median, TE43 - TE80 in the middle half, and TE25 - TE92 in the middle 80%. | |
| 57 | TE | Nate AdkinsDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE64 at the median, TE45 - TE81 in the middle half, and TE21 - TE94 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 13% |
TE57↓ 9 | 2.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE64 at the median, TE45 - TE81 in the middle half, and TE21 - TE94 in the middle 80%. | |
| 58 | TE | Mitchell EvansCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE58 at the median, TE43 - TE74 in the middle half, and TE25 - TE87 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 9% |
TE58NEW | 2.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE58 at the median, TE43 - TE74 in the middle half, and TE25 - TE87 in the middle 80%. | |
| 59 | TE | Thomas Fidone IINYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE67 at the median, TE46 - TE86 in the middle half, and TE25 - TE98 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 10% |
TE59↑ 29 | 2.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE67 at the median, TE46 - TE86 in the middle half, and TE25 - TE98 in the middle 80%. | |
| 60 | TE | Lucas KrullDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE68 at the median, TE48 - TE86 in the middle half, and TE26 - TE99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 9% |
TE60↑ 36 | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE68 at the median, TE48 - TE86 in the middle half, and TE26 - TE99 in the middle 80%. | |
| 61 | TE | Matt HibnerBALQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE72 at the median, TE49 - TE91 in the middle half, and TE26 - TE102 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
TE61NEW | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE72 at the median, TE49 - TE91 in the middle half, and TE26 - TE102 in the middle 80%. | |
| 62 | TE | Daniel BellingerTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE63 at the median, TE47 - TE78 in the middle half, and TE31 - TE89 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7% |
TE62↑ 7 | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE63 at the median, TE47 - TE78 in the middle half, and TE31 - TE89 in the middle 80%. | |
| 63 | TE | Mo Alie-CoxIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE66 at the median, TE48 - TE83 in the middle half, and TE30 - TE95 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8% |
TE63↑ 37 | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE66 at the median, TE48 - TE83 in the middle half, and TE30 - TE95 in the middle 80%. | |
| 64 | TE | Tanner ArkinNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE67 at the median, TE47 - TE85 in the middle half, and TE27 - TE97 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 9% |
TE64↓ 26 | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE67 at the median, TE47 - TE85 in the middle half, and TE27 - TE97 in the middle 80%. | |
| 65 | TE | Nick VannettBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE66 at the median, TE47 - TE84 in the middle half, and TE27 - TE97 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 9% |
TE65NEW | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE66 at the median, TE47 - TE84 in the middle half, and TE27 - TE97 in the middle 80%. | |
| 66 | TE | Elijah ArroyoSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE67 at the median, TE49 - TE83 in the middle half, and TE29 - TE95 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8% |
TE66↓ 8 | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE67 at the median, TE49 - TE83 in the middle half, and TE29 - TE95 in the middle 80%. | |
| 67 | TE | Ian ThomasLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE69 at the median, TE51 - TE85 in the middle half, and TE28 - TE97 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8% |
TE67↑ 6 | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE69 at the median, TE51 - TE85 in the middle half, and TE28 - TE97 in the middle 80%. | |
| 68 | TE | Luke SchoonmakerDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE67 at the median, TE51 - TE83 in the middle half, and TE33 - TE95 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7% |
TE68↓ 1 | 2.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE67 at the median, TE51 - TE83 in the middle half, and TE33 - TE95 in the middle 80%. | |
| 69 | TE | Kylen GransonTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE69 at the median, TE50 - TE86 in the middle half, and TE30 - TE98 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 8% |
TE69↓ 40 | 2.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE69 at the median, TE50 - TE86 in the middle half, and TE30 - TE98 in the middle 80%. | |
| 70 | TE | Brevyn Spann-FordDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE66 at the median, TE50 - TE81 in the middle half, and TE33 - TE92 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7% |
TE70↑ 16 | 2.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE66 at the median, TE50 - TE81 in the middle half, and TE33 - TE92 in the middle 80%. | |
| 71 | TE | Charlie WoernerATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE68 at the median, TE52 - TE84 in the middle half, and TE35 - TE95 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7% |
TE71↑ 30 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE68 at the median, TE52 - TE84 in the middle half, and TE35 - TE95 in the middle 80%. | |
| 72 | TE | Ko KieftTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE72 at the median, TE54 - TE88 in the middle half, and TE33 - TE99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7% |
TE72↑ 12 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE72 at the median, TE54 - TE88 in the middle half, and TE33 - TE99 in the middle 80%. | |
| 73 | TE | Max KlareLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE75 at the median, TE55 - TE91 in the middle half, and TE34 - TE101 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6% |
TE73↑ 22 | 2.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE75 at the median, TE55 - TE91 in the middle half, and TE34 - TE101 in the middle 80%. | |
| 74 | TE | John BatesWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE72 at the median, TE55 - TE87 in the middle half, and TE37 - TE98 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6% |
TE74↑ 2 | 2.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE72 at the median, TE55 - TE87 in the middle half, and TE37 - TE98 in the middle 80%. | |
| 75 | TE | Jackson HawesBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE72 at the median, TE54 - TE88 in the middle half, and TE36 - TE99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7% |
TE75↓ 1 | 2.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE72 at the median, TE54 - TE88 in the middle half, and TE36 - TE99 in the middle 80%. | |
| 76 | TE | Drake DabneyGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE76 at the median, TE56 - TE92 in the middle half, and TE36 - TE103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6% |
TE76↓ 34 | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE76 at the median, TE56 - TE92 in the middle half, and TE36 - TE103 in the middle 80%. | |
| 77 | TE | Josh WhyleGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE80 at the median, TE61 - TE96 in the middle half, and TE33 - TE104 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7% |
TE77↑ 15 | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE80 at the median, TE61 - TE96 in the middle half, and TE33 - TE104 in the middle 80%. | |
| 78 | TE | Johnny MundtPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE74 at the median, TE57 - TE90 in the middle half, and TE38 - TE99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6% |
TE78↑ 3 | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE74 at the median, TE57 - TE90 in the middle half, and TE38 - TE99 in the middle 80%. | |
| 79 | TE | Adam TrautmanDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE76 at the median, TE57 - TE91 in the middle half, and TE36 - TE101 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7% |
TE79↓ 17 | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE76 at the median, TE57 - TE91 in the middle half, and TE36 - TE101 in the middle 80%. | |
| 80 | TE | Luke FarrellSF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE75 at the median, TE58 - TE88 in the middle half, and TE40 - TE98 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6% |
TE80↑ 3 | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE75 at the median, TE58 - TE88 in the middle half, and TE40 - TE98 in the middle 80%. | |
| 81 | TE | Marlin KleinHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE78 at the median, TE58 - TE94 in the middle half, and TE37 - TE103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6% |
TE81↑ 6 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE78 at the median, TE58 - TE94 in the middle half, and TE37 - TE103 in the middle 80%. | |
| 82 | TE | Tanner KoziolJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE77 at the median, TE58 - TE93 in the middle half, and TE38 - TE102 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
TE82↓ 22 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE77 at the median, TE58 - TE93 in the middle half, and TE38 - TE102 in the middle 80%. | |
| 83 | TE | Chris ManhertzNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE78 at the median, TE58 - TE94 in the middle half, and TE37 - TE103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6% |
TE83NEW | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE78 at the median, TE58 - TE94 in the middle half, and TE37 - TE103 in the middle 80%. | |
| 84 | TE | Sam RoushCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE75 at the median, TE59 - TE89 in the middle half, and TE42 - TE99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 5% |
TE84↓ 14 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE75 at the median, TE59 - TE89 in the middle half, and TE42 - TE99 in the middle 80%. | |
| 85 | TE | James MitchellDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE83 at the median, TE63 - TE98 in the middle half, and TE38 - TE105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
TE85NEW | 1.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE83 at the median, TE63 - TE98 in the middle half, and TE38 - TE105 in the middle 80%. | |
| 86 | TE | E.J. JenkinsPHIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE82 at the median, TE61 - TE97 in the middle half, and TE42 - TE106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6% |
TE86NEW | 1.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE82 at the median, TE61 - TE97 in the middle half, and TE42 - TE106 in the middle 80%. | |
| 87 | TE | Josh CuevasBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE78 at the median, TE61 - TE92 in the middle half, and TE45 - TE101 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 4% |
TE87NEW | 1.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE78 at the median, TE61 - TE92 in the middle half, and TE45 - TE101 in the middle 80%. | |
| 88 | TE | Cade StoverHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE80 at the median, TE62 - TE94 in the middle half, and TE45 - TE102 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
TE88↑ 10 | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE80 at the median, TE62 - TE94 in the middle half, and TE45 - TE102 in the middle 80%. | |
| 89 | TE | Payne DurhamTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE81 at the median, TE64 - TE95 in the middle half, and TE46 - TE103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
TE89— | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE81 at the median, TE64 - TE95 in the middle half, and TE46 - TE103 in the middle 80%. | |
| 90 | TE | Teagan QuitorianoARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE84 at the median, TE66 - TE97 in the middle half, and TE44 - TE105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
TE90↓ 44 | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE84 at the median, TE66 - TE97 in the middle half, and TE44 - TE105 in the middle 80%. | |
| 91 | TE | Robert TonyanPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE82 at the median, TE62 - TE95 in the middle half, and TE43 - TE104 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
TE91NEW | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE82 at the median, TE62 - TE95 in the middle half, and TE43 - TE104 in the middle 80%. | |
| 92 | TE | Blake WhiteheartCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE81 at the median, TE64 - TE95 in the middle half, and TE46 - TE103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 5% |
TE92↓ 10 | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE81 at the median, TE64 - TE95 in the middle half, and TE46 - TE103 in the middle 80%. | |
| 93 | TE | Hayden RucciJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE88 at the median, TE70 - TE100 in the middle half, and TE48 - TE106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 4% |
TE93↓ 22 | 1.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE88 at the median, TE70 - TE100 in the middle half, and TE48 - TE106 in the middle 80%. | |
| 94 | TE | Nick KallerupSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE87 at the median, TE68 - TE100 in the middle half, and TE47 - TE107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
TE94↑ 10 | 1.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE87 at the median, TE68 - TE100 in the middle half, and TE47 - TE107 in the middle 80%. | |
| 95 | TE | Jake BriningstoolKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE87 at the median, TE70 - TE99 in the middle half, and TE50 - TE106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
TE95NEW | 1.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE87 at the median, TE70 - TE99 in the middle half, and TE50 - TE106 in the middle 80%. | |
| 96 | TE | Colson YankoffWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE84 at the median, TE68 - TE97 in the middle half, and TE50 - TE104 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 4% |
TE96↓ 2 | 1.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE84 at the median, TE68 - TE97 in the middle half, and TE50 - TE104 in the middle 80%. | |
| 97 | TE | Jelani WoodsNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE86 at the median, TE69 - TE98 in the middle half, and TE50 - TE105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3% |
TE97NEW | 1.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE86 at the median, TE69 - TE98 in the middle half, and TE50 - TE105 in the middle 80%. | |
| 98 | TE | Andrew OgletreeIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE89 at the median, TE73 - TE100 in the middle half, and TE55 - TE106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 4% |
TE98NEW | 1.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE89 at the median, TE73 - TE100 in the middle half, and TE55 - TE106 in the middle 80%. | |
| 99 | TE | Eric SaubertSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE88 at the median, TE73 - TE99 in the middle half, and TE56 - TE105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3% |
TE99— | 1.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE88 at the median, TE73 - TE99 in the middle half, and TE56 - TE105 in the middle 80%. | |
| 100 | TE | Treyton WelchNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE88 at the median, TE72 - TE100 in the middle half, and TE53 - TE106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3% |
TE100↓ 3 | 1.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE88 at the median, TE72 - TE100 in the middle half, and TE53 - TE106 in the middle 80%. | |
| 101 | TE | Stone SmarttNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE93 at the median, TE75 - TE103 in the middle half, and TE56 - TE109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3% |
TE101↓ 8 | 1.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE93 at the median, TE75 - TE103 in the middle half, and TE56 - TE109 in the middle 80%. | |
| 102 | TE | Bauer SharpTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE90 at the median, TE76 - TE100 in the middle half, and TE60 - TE106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3% |
TE102NEW | 1.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE90 at the median, TE76 - TE100 in the middle half, and TE60 - TE106 in the middle 80%. | |
| 103 | TE | Cameron LatuNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE90 at the median, TE74 - TE100 in the middle half, and TE55 - TE106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3% |
TE103NEW | 1.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE90 at the median, TE74 - TE100 in the middle half, and TE55 - TE106 in the middle 80%. | |
| 104 | TE | Quintin MorrisJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE91 at the median, TE75 - TE101 in the middle half, and TE56 - TE107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 4% |
TE104NEW | 1.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE91 at the median, TE75 - TE101 in the middle half, and TE56 - TE107 in the middle 80%. | |
| 105 | TE | Ben SinnottWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE91 at the median, TE75 - TE102 in the middle half, and TE57 - TE107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3% |
TE105↓ 2 | 1.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE91 at the median, TE75 - TE102 in the middle half, and TE57 - TE107 in the middle 80%. | |
| 106 | TE | Brevin JordanHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE95 at the median, TE81 - TE104 in the middle half, and TE64 - TE109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
TE106↓ 61 | 1.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE95 at the median, TE81 - TE104 in the middle half, and TE64 - TE109 in the middle 80%. |
Simulated finishes
This board is ranked by projected fantasy points. The map shows where those same players finished at their own position across the 4,000 simulated weeks the projections came from.
Box: the middle half of a player's simulated finishes. Line: his median. Thin bar: the middle 80%. Two players whose boxes overlap are two players this board does not separate.
Week 6 TE outcome map: the positional finish each player reaches across the 4,000 simulated weeks, as a median, a middle half and a middle 80%. The board itself is ranked by projected fantasy points.
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TE1 Brock BowersTE8Brock Bowers is ranked TE1 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE8 at the median, TE2 - TE19 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE31 in the middle 80%.
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TE2 Trey McBrideTE7Trey McBride is ranked TE2 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE7 at the median, TE3 - TE16 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE26 in the middle 80%.
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TE3 Isaiah LikelyTE9Isaiah Likely is ranked TE3 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE9 at the median, TE4 - TE19 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE30 in the middle 80%.
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TE4 George KittleTE11George Kittle is ranked TE4 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE11 at the median, TE5 - TE22 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE31 in the middle 80%.
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TE5 Tyler WarrenTE11Tyler Warren is ranked TE5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE11 at the median, TE4 - TE23 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE32 in the middle 80%.
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TE6 Juwan JohnsonTE15Juwan Johnson is ranked TE6 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE15 at the median, TE7 - TE27 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE37 in the middle 80%.
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TE7 Tucker KraftTE15Tucker Kraft is ranked TE7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE15 at the median, TE7 - TE27 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE37 in the middle 80%.
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TE8 Travis KelceTE16Travis Kelce is ranked TE8 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE16 at the median, TE7 - TE28 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE37 in the middle 80%.
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TE9 Pat FreiermuthTE17Pat Freiermuth is ranked TE9 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE17 at the median, TE8 - TE31 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE41 in the middle 80%.
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TE10 Dallas GoedertTE18Dallas Goedert is ranked TE10 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE18 at the median, TE8 - TE32 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE44 in the middle 80%.
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TE11 Brenton StrangeTE18Brenton Strange is ranked TE11 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE18 at the median, TE9 - TE29 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE39 in the middle 80%.
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TE12 Mark AndrewsTE19Mark Andrews is ranked TE12 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE19 at the median, TE9 - TE32 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE42 in the middle 80%.
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TE13 Harold Fannin Jr.TE20Harold Fannin Jr. is ranked TE13 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE20 at the median, TE9 - TE33 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE44 in the middle 80%.
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TE14 Tyler HigbeeTE21Tyler Higbee is ranked TE14 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE21 at the median, TE9 - TE33 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE43 in the middle 80%.
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TE15 Dalton KincaidTE20Dalton Kincaid is ranked TE15 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE20 at the median, TE10 - TE31 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE41 in the middle 80%.
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TE16 Colston LovelandTE23Colston Loveland is ranked TE16 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE23 at the median, TE11 - TE34 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE45 in the middle 80%.
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TE17 Michael MayerTE25Michael Mayer is ranked TE17 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE25 at the median, TE12 - TE36 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE46 in the middle 80%.
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TE18 Dalton SchultzTE24Dalton Schultz is ranked TE18 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE24 at the median, TE13 - TE34 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE45 in the middle 80%.
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TE19 Jake FergusonTE25Jake Ferguson is ranked TE19 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE25 at the median, TE12 - TE37 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE49 in the middle 80%.
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TE20 Darren WallerTE27Darren Waller is ranked TE20 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE27 at the median, TE12 - TE41 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE55 in the middle 80%.
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TE21 Cade OttonTE26Cade Otton is ranked TE21 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE26 at the median, TE13 - TE37 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE48 in the middle 80%.
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TE22 Hunter HenryTE27Hunter Henry is ranked TE22 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE27 at the median, TE13 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE50 in the middle 80%.
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TE23 Kyle PittsTE26Kyle Pitts is ranked TE23 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE26 at the median, TE13 - TE38 in the middle half, and TE7 - TE49 in the middle 80%.
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TE24 AJ BarnerTE27AJ Barner is ranked TE24 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE27 at the median, TE13 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE7 - TE51 in the middle 80%.
Show TE25 - TE36
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TE25 Kenyon SadiqTE29Kenyon Sadiq is ranked TE25 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE29 at the median, TE14 - TE44 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE60 in the middle 80%.
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TE26 Darnell WashingtonTE32Darnell Washington is ranked TE26 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE32 at the median, TE19 - TE45 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE57 in the middle 80%.
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TE27 Chig OkonkwoTE31Chig Okonkwo is ranked TE27 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE31 at the median, TE19 - TE44 in the middle half, and TE10 - TE57 in the middle 80%.
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TE28 Tommy TrembleTE35Tommy Tremble is ranked TE28 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE35 at the median, TE20 - TE52 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE70 in the middle 80%.
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TE29 Evan EngramTE35Evan Engram is ranked TE29 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE35 at the median, TE22 - TE47 in the middle half, and TE12 - TE59 in the middle 80%.
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TE30 Oronde Gadsden IITE37Oronde Gadsden II is ranked TE30 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE37 at the median, TE21 - TE52 in the middle half, and TE11 - TE66 in the middle 80%.
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TE31 Michael TriggTE38Michael Trigg is ranked TE31 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE38 at the median, TE22 - TE57 in the middle half, and TE10 - TE74 in the middle 80%.
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TE32 Ja'Tavion SandersTE40Ja'Tavion Sanders is ranked TE32 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE40 at the median, TE22 - TE58 in the middle half, and TE10 - TE77 in the middle 80%.
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TE33 Eli RaridonTE39Eli Raridon is ranked TE33 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE39 at the median, TE26 - TE53 in the middle half, and TE14 - TE67 in the middle 80%.
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TE34 Mason TaylorTE43Mason Taylor is ranked TE34 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE43 at the median, TE28 - TE58 in the middle half, and TE15 - TE72 in the middle 80%.
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TE35 Dawson KnoxTE44Dawson Knox is ranked TE35 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE44 at the median, TE29 - TE59 in the middle half, and TE15 - TE73 in the middle 80%.
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TE36 Elijah HigginsTE44Elijah Higgins is ranked TE36 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE44 at the median, TE29 - TE59 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE73 in the middle 80%.
Simulated positional finish. The scale is compressed to the right, so equal distances are not equal numbers of places.
The axis compresses lower-ranked finishes so the top of the board stays readable. Use the printed ranges for exact finish positions.
How these are made
This board was built from 2026 usage for 78% of the board, draft position for 100%, an outside projection for 58%, sportsbook props for 50%, an official status for 81%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Full PPR, 1QB.
Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured October 15, 2026 21:54 UTC. Movement is previous - current; positive means the player moved up the board (a smaller rank number), measured in positional rank against the final Week 5 board generated before that week's first kickoff (October 8, 2026). Model rankings-v1.4.3, board captured 2026-10-15.
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
