MIA · Bye 6 · Rookie
Will Kacmarek
LMD TE78 for Week 5 · 1.6 projected Half PPR points
In season
Week 5 fantasy ranking
We project 1.6 points this week, TE78. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 7% of simulated weeks.
Week 5
TE78
348th by projected points
Projected
1.6
week 5, Half PPR
Top 12
1%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 7% at TE
Movement
NEW
Not ranked at TE in Week 4
Should you start Will Kacmarek in Week 5?
Bench
Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Will Kacmarek TE78 for Week 5, outside the TE12 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside TE12 in 1% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Neutral+0.10 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Slight negative-0.15 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Neutral-0.06 pts
- Betting markets
- No mean changeNarrower range+0.02 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated October 8, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Will Kacmarek has averaged -0.7 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | — | — | 0.0 | — |
| Wk 2 | — | — | 0.9 | — |
| Wk 3 | vs KC | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 |
| Wk 4 | @ MIN | 1.9 | 2.0 | +0.1 |
| Wk 5 | vs CIN | 1.6 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Will Kacmarek #257 in 1QB and #261 in Superflex, TE41 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 23.
1QB
#257
TE41 · tier 60 · of 297 · rookie 46 of 52
Superflex
#261
TE41 · tier 52 · of 303 · rookie 46 of 52
- Draft capital Round 3, pick 87 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Dynasty rankings Dynasty TE rankings Dynasty rookie rankings
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
4.06
pick 41.6 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
4.07
half of simulations take him by pick 43
Draft range
3.09 - 4.12
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 5,724 of them
Filters
League format
Nothing is published for every setting in that link, so this is the closest configuration we have simulated for Will Kacmarek.
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 4.07 in 74% of simulations
Pick 43 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 4.02 and 4.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 4.05 | 81% |
| 4.06 | 78% |
| 4.07 | 74% |
| 4.08 | 71% |
| 4.09 | 67% |
| 4.10 | 62% |
| 4.11 | 56% |
| 4.12 | 50% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 3.09 | <1% | 95 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.10 | 1% | 106 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.11 | 1% | 143 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.12 | 2% | 162 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.01 | 2% | 172 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.02 | 2% | 192 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.03 | 2% | 230 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.04 | 3% | 264 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.05 | 3% | 306 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.06 | 3% | 324 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.07 | 4% | 362 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.08 | 4% | 424 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.09 | 5% | 498 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.10 | 5% | 518 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.11 | 6% | 638 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.12 | 7% | 729 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 5724 simulations in which Will Kacmarek was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Riley Nowakowski TE · PIT 5%
- Marlin Klein TE · HOU 5%
- Max Klare TE · LAR 5%
- Skyler Bell WR · BUF 5%
Usually taken just after
- Sam Roush TE · CHI 5%
- Colbie Young WR · CIN 4%
- Bryce Lance WR · NO 4%
- Max Klare TE · LAR 4%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Will Kacmarek was selected in 5724 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 8, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.