HOU · Bye 8
Tank Dell
LMD WR Tier 8 for Week 9 · 4.6 projected Half PPR points · WR71 rest of season
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 4.6 points this week, WR Tier 8. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 1.3 - 9.9 points. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 3% · Top 24: 8% of simulated weeks.
Week 9
WR Tier 8
4.2 - 5.0 projected points
Rest of season
WR71
158th by projected points
Projected
4.6
week 9, Half PPR
Top 12
3%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 8% at WR
Movement
NEW
Not ranked at WR in Week 8
Should you start Tank Dell in Week 9?
Bench
Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Tank Dell WR70 for Week 9, outside the WR24 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside WR24 in 8% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
LMD vs the draft market
WR70 vs WR60 -10
LMD has him WR70. The fantasy draft market has him WR60, 10 places higher.
Sportsbooks pricing him below our baseline.
- Draft / market prior
- Positive+1.28 pts
- Recent usage & efficiencyLimited data
- Neutral-0.01 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight negative-0.28 pts
- Betting markets
- Negative-1.87 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
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STATUS
Tank Dell is no longer listed on the injury report.
Let's Mock Draft ·
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Latest on Texans' Tank Dell, David Montgomery in Thursday's injury report vs. Jaguars
lufkindailynews.com ·
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ADP UPDATE
Tank Dell's ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 150.4 to 162.5 over the last 8 days.
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Tank Dell by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 1 completed game Tank Dell has averaged +1.2 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 | vs NYG | 3.8 | 5.0 | +1.2 |
| Wk 9 | @ LAC | 4.6 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 49.3 points this season, WR71. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1% of simulated seasons. That is 4.7 a game over 10 remaining games. Down 15 since the Nov. 4 board.
Per game
4.7 / game
Over 10 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
broad
Broad market coverage across several venues and markets.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD does not currently assign Tank Dell a differentiated dynasty rank. Age 26.
The model prices him at replacement level for the next three seasons and does not separate him from the several hundred players it prices the same way, so it assigns no rank rather than an invented one.
- Last season 114.5 pts 8.2 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 36% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 2 seasons Played in 2 of his 3 seasons in the window the model reads.
- Touches 3.6 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 10% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.10
pick 206.1 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.10
half of simulations take him by pick 206
Draft range
15.07 - 15.14
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 2,137 of them
Filters
League format
Nothing is published for every setting in that link, so this is the closest configuration we have simulated for Tank Dell.
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.10 in 92% of simulations
Pick 206 overall in a 14-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.08 and 15.13.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.08 | 96% |
| 15.09 | 94% |
| 15.10 | 92% |
| 15.11 | 89% |
| 15.12 | 86% |
| 15.13 | 84% |
| 15.14 | 81% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 15.05 | <1% | 56 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | <1% | 97 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 2% | 175 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 234 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 236 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 3% | 257 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 3% | 259 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 2% | 243 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.13 | 3% | 283 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.14 | 3% | 260 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 2137 simulations in which Tank Dell was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ 3%
- Ja'Kobi Lane WR · BAL 3%
- Antonio Williams WR · WAS 3%
- Jalen McMillan WR · TB 3%
Usually taken just after
- Ja'Kobi Lane WR · BAL 3%
- Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ 3%
- Kayshon Boutte WR · HOU 3%
- Jalen McMillan WR · TB 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Tank Dell was selected in 2137 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.