MIA · Bye 6
Ollie Gordon II
Ollie Gordon II comes off the board at 14.09 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty mock drafts, with a median of 14.09.
12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty · 10,000 simulations · generated September 17, 2026
Updates
Recent updates
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STATUS
Ollie Gordon II is no longer listed on the injury report.
Let's Mock Draft ·
Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 1 completed game Ollie Gordon II has averaged -1.3 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ LV | 2.0 | Pending | — |
| Wk 2 | @ SF | 2.0 | 0.7 | -1.3 |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Ollie Gordon II #176 in 1QB and #178 in Superflex, RB47 at his position. Age 22.
1QB
#176
RB47 · tier 40 · of 297
Superflex
#178
RB47 · tier 33 · of 303
- Last season 50.6 pts 3.0 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 100% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 4.6 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 2% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
14.09
pick 165.3 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
14.09
half of simulations take him by pick 165
Draft range
13.11 - 15.09
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 7,323 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 14.09 in 65% of simulations
Pick 165 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 4, the same seat picks again at 15.04, where he is available in 46% of simulations.
Slot 4's remaining turns: 14.09 65% · 15.04 46%
The middle half of simulations take him between 14.03 and 15.04.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 14.07 | 71% |
| 14.08 | 68% |
| 14.09 | 65% |
| 14.10 | 62% |
| 14.11 | 60% |
| 14.12 | 57% |
| 15.01 | 54% |
| 15.02 | 51% |
| 15.03 | 48% |
| 15.04 | 46% |
| 15.05 | 43% |
| 15.06 | 40% |
| 15.07 | 38% |
| 15.08 | 36% |
| 15.09 | 34% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 13.11 | 2% | 237 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.12 | 2% | 240 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.01 | 3% | 281 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02 | 3% | 301 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.03 | 3% | 280 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.04 | 3% | 281 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.05 | 3% | 316 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.06 | 3% | 278 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.07 | 3% | 268 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08 | 3% | 299 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.09 | 3% | 301 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10 | 3% | 268 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11 | 3% | 272 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12 | 3% | 258 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 3% | 320 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 3% | 277 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 3% | 257 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 3% | 295 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 2% | 246 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 229 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 2% | 204 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 184 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 195 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 7323 simulations in which Ollie Gordon II was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Brashard Smith RB · KC 3%
- Juwan Johnson TE · NO 2%
- Xavier Legette WR · CAR 2%
- Isaac TeSlaa WR · DET 2%
Usually taken just after
- Brashard Smith RB · KC 3%
- Kimani Vidal RB · LAC 3%
- Zachariah Branch WR · ATL 2%
- Matthew Golden WR · GB 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Ollie Gordon II was selected in 7323 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.