PIT · Bye 9
Michael Pittman
LMD WR61 rest of season · 108.0 projected Full PPR points
Out this week
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 108.0 points this season, WR61. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 2% of simulated seasons. That is 9.1 a game over 11.918 remaining games. Ruled out this week, so this projection is for the games after it. Down 12 since the Oct. 6 board.
Rest of season
WR61
125th by projected points
Projected
108.0
rest of season, Full PPR
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 2% at WR
Movement
↓ 12
WR49 on Oct. 6, WR61 now
Full PPR scoring · Updated October 8, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
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Limited practice for Michael Pittman Jr.
USA TODAY ·
-
Jalen Ramsey misses Steelers practice, Michael Pittman Jr. getting around on scooter
triblive.com ·
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Steelers' Michael Pittman Jr Now More Seriously Injured
yardbarker.com ·
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Injury Setback for Steelers WR Michael Pittman Jr.?
Yahoo Sports ·
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Steelers’ Michael Pittman Jr. shares powerful story of overcoming a childhood struggle
Yahoo Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Michael Pittman by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 3 completed games Michael Pittman has averaged -2.3 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs ATL | 7.4 | 8.8 | +1.4 |
| Wk 2 | @ NE | 5.8 | Pending | — |
| Wk 3 | vs CIN | 6.3 | 3.6 | -2.7 |
| Wk 4 | @ CLE | 9.0 | 3.5 | -5.5 |
| Wk 5 | vs IND | 8.9 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at WR37. For the rest of the season LMD has him 24 spots lower, at WR61.
Preseason market: WR37 · ADP 76.6
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
WR61 −24
LMD has him 24 spots lower than his WR37 draft price.
This week
Not ranked this week — a bye or a ruling out takes a player off the weekly board rather than ranking him last.
Full PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
WR37 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 108.0 points this season, WR61. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 2% of simulated seasons. That is 9.1 a game over 11.918 remaining games. Ruled out this week, so this projection is for the games after it. Down 12 since the Oct. 6 board.
Per game
9.1 / game
Over 11.918 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 2%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
thin
Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 8, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Michael Pittman #85 in 1QB and #87 in Superflex, WR32 at his position. Age 28.
1QB
#85
WR32 · tier 21 · of 297
Superflex
#87
WR32 · tier 16 · of 303
- Last season 162.4 pts 9.6 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 97% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 7.3 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 24% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
10.07
pick 115.1 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
10.06
half of simulations take him by pick 114
Draft range
9.02 - 12.02
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,988 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 10.06 in 50% of simulations
Pick 114 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 7, the same seat picks again at 11.07, where he is available in 20% of simulations.
Slot 7's remaining turns: 10.06 50% · 11.07 20% · 12.06 7% · 13.07 2% · 14.06 1% · 15.07 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 9.08 and 11.04.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 10.04 | 56% |
| 10.05 | 53% |
| 10.06 | 50% |
| 10.07 | 48% |
| 10.08 | 45% |
| 10.09 | 43% |
| 10.10 | 40% |
| 10.11 | 37% |
| 10.12 | 35% |
| 11.01 | 33% |
| 11.02 | 31% |
| 11.03 | 28% |
| 11.04 | 26% |
| 11.05 | 24% |
| 11.06 | 22% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 9.02-9.03 | 5% | 505 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.04-9.05 | 5% | 462 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.06-9.07 | 5% | 473 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.08-9.09 | 5% | 502 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.10-9.11 | 5% | 468 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.12-10.01 | 5% | 510 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.02-10.03 | 5% | 512 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.04-10.05 | 6% | 554 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.06-10.07 | 5% | 513 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.08-10.09 | 5% | 500 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.10-10.11 | 5% | 499 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.12-11.01 | 4% | 444 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.02-11.03 | 4% | 449 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.04-11.05 | 4% | 390 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.06-11.07 | 4% | 360 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.08-11.09 | 3% | 303 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.10-11.11 | 3% | 291 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.12-12.01 | 2% | 229 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.02 | <1% | 92 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9988 simulations in which Michael Pittman was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Jordan Addison WR · MIN 2%
- Wan'Dale Robinson WR · TEN 2%
- Quentin Johnston WR · LAC 2%
- Alec Pierce WR · IND 2%
Usually taken just after
- Quentin Johnston WR · LAC 2%
- Jordan Addison WR · MIN 2%
- Jayden Reed WR · GB 2%
- KC Concepcion WR · CLE 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Michael Pittman was selected in 9988 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 8, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 8, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-08)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.