GB · Bye 11
Josh Jacobs
LMD RB32 rest of season · 123.7 projected Half PPR points
Out this week
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 123.7 points this season, RB32. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 21% of simulated seasons. That is 8.9 a game over 14 remaining games. Ruled out this week, so this projection is for the games after it. Up 28 since the Sept. 20 board.
Rest of season
RB32
81st by projected points
Projected
123.7
rest of season, Half PPR
Top 12
1%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 21% at RB
Movement
↑ 28
RB60 on Sept. 20, RB32 now
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
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Josh Jacobs' ex Ash Kaash drops 2-word message as Travis Hunter's wife Leanna turns "Badddieeee" in custom Jaguars outfit
sportskeeda.com ·
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Josh Jacobs’ Absence Leaves Jordan Love Facing A Bigger Challenge With Green Bay Packers
sports.ndtv.com ·
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Josh Jacobs' Absence Leaves Jordan Love Facing A Bigger Challenge
sports.ndtv.com ·
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Major update emerges on Packers RB Josh Jacobs’ potential NFL suspension
bundle.app ·
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Green Bay Packers running back Josh Jacobs’ court hearing set for Sept. 24
tmj4.com ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Josh Jacobs by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
No completed game has both a pregame projection and a published result yet.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ MIN | 4.4 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB31. For the rest of the season LMD has him 1 spot lower, at RB32.
Preseason market: RB31 · ADP 83.4
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB32 −1
LMD has him 1 spot lower than his RB31 draft price.
This week
Not ranked this week — a bye or a ruling out takes a player off the weekly board rather than ranking him last.
Half PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB31 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 123.7 points this season, RB32. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 21% of simulated seasons. That is 8.9 a game over 14 remaining games. Ruled out this week, so this projection is for the games after it. Up 28 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
8.9 / game
Over 14 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 21%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Josh Jacobs #45 in 1QB and #55 in Superflex, RB17 at his position. Age 28.
1QB
#45
RB17 · tier 14 · of 297
Superflex
#55
RB17 · tier 11 · of 303
- Last season 219.1 pts 14.6 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 89% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 19.8 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 10% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
2.11
pick 22.9 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
2.12
half of simulations take him by pick 24
Draft range
1.12 - 3.09
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 2.12 in 51% of simulations
Pick 24 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 1, the same seat picks again at 3.01, where he is available in 45% of simulations.
Slot 1's remaining turns: 2.12 51% · 3.01 45% · 4.12 <1% · 5.01 <1% · 6.12 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 2.05 and 3.04.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 2.10 | 60% |
| 2.11 | 55% |
| 2.12 | 51% |
| 3.01 | 45% |
| 3.02 | 40% |
| 3.03 | 35% |
| 3.04 | 30% |
| 3.05 | 25% |
| 3.06 | 20% |
| 3.07 | 17% |
| 3.08 | 13% |
| 3.09 | 11% |
| 3.10 | 8% |
| 3.11 | 7% |
| 3.12 | 5% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | 3% | 287 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.01 | 3% | 285 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.02 | 3% | 272 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.03 | 3% | 261 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.04 | 2% | 218 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.05 | 2% | 227 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.06 | 3% | 300 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.07 | 3% | 294 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.08 | 4% | 412 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.09 | 5% | 480 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.10 | 5% | 451 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.11 | 5% | 472 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.12 | 5% | 533 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.01 | 5% | 518 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.02 | 5% | 519 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.03 | 5% | 526 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.04 | 5% | 510 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.05 | 5% | 457 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.06 | 3% | 342 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.07 | 3% | 309 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.08 | 3% | 261 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.09 | 2% | 235 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Josh Jacobs was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Ashton Jeanty RB · LV 5%
- Omarion Hampton RB · LAC 5%
- Nico Collins WR · HOU 5%
- Kenneth Walker III RB · KC 5%
Usually taken just after
- Javonte Williams RB · DAL 5%
- Omarion Hampton RB · LAC 5%
- Kenneth Walker III RB · KC 5%
- Ashton Jeanty RB · LV 5%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Josh Jacobs was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.