MIN · Bye 6
Jordan Mason
LMD RB45 rest of season · 94.3 projected Half PPR points
Reserve list (IR)
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 94.3 points this season, RB45. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 3% of simulated seasons. That is 8.0 a game over 11.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses. Up 6 since the Sept. 20 board.
Rest of season
RB45
136th by projected points
Projected
94.3
rest of season, Half PPR
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 3% at RB
Movement
↑ 6
RB51 on Sept. 20, RB45 now
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Vikings RB Jordan Mason (thumb surgery) placed on IR
Reuters ·
-
STATUS
Jordan Mason was listed as Questionable.
Let's Mock Draft ·
-
O'Connell gives update on Kyler Murray's concussion, possible Jordan Mason injury
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Jordan Mason reaches pay dirt
Yahoo Sports ·
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Jordan Mason is in line to have a big role in the Vikings' offense this season.
Sports Illustrated ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Jordan Mason by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 1 completed game Jordan Mason has averaged +7.0 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs GB | 4.9 | 11.9 | +7.0 |
| Wk 2 | @ CHI | 5.3 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB39. For the rest of the season LMD has him 6 spots lower, at RB45.
Preseason market: RB39 · ADP 113.3
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB45 −6
LMD has him 6 spots lower than his RB39 draft price.
This week
Not ranked this week — a bye or a ruling out takes a player off the weekly board rather than ranking him last.
Half PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB39 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 94.3 points this season, RB45. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 3% of simulated seasons. That is 8.0 a game over 11.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses. Up 6 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
8.0 / game
Over 11.825 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 3%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Jordan Mason #197 in 1QB and #192 in Superflex, RB50 at his position. Age 27.
1QB
#197
RB50 · tier 43 · of 297
Superflex
#192
RB50 · tier 36 · of 303
- Last season 121.9 pts 7.6 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 87% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 10.2 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 3% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
10.07
pick 114.6 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
10.06
half of simulations take him by pick 114
Draft range
8.12 - 12.01
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,990 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 10.06 in 51% of simulations
Pick 114 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 7, the same seat picks again at 11.07, where he is available in 20% of simulations.
Slot 7's remaining turns: 10.06 51% · 11.07 20% · 12.06 5% · 13.07 2% · 14.06 1% · 15.07 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 9.08 and 11.04.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 10.04 | 56% |
| 10.05 | 54% |
| 10.06 | 51% |
| 10.07 | 48% |
| 10.08 | 45% |
| 10.09 | 43% |
| 10.10 | 40% |
| 10.11 | 38% |
| 10.12 | 36% |
| 11.01 | 34% |
| 11.02 | 31% |
| 11.03 | 29% |
| 11.04 | 27% |
| 11.05 | 24% |
| 11.06 | 22% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 8.12-9.01 | 3% | 326 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.02-9.03 | 3% | 322 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.04-9.05 | 4% | 359 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.06-9.07 | 4% | 418 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.08-9.09 | 4% | 444 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.10-9.11 | 5% | 454 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.12-10.01 | 5% | 513 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.02-10.03 | 6% | 564 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.04-10.05 | 6% | 558 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.06-10.07 | 5% | 548 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.08-10.09 | 5% | 494 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.10-10.11 | 4% | 435 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.12-11.01 | 5% | 465 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.02-11.03 | 5% | 461 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.04-11.05 | 4% | 445 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.06-11.07 | 4% | 407 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.08-11.09 | 3% | 317 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.10-11.11 | 3% | 321 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.12-12.01 | 2% | 245 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9990 simulations in which Jordan Mason was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- James Conner RB · ARI 2%
- Tyler Allgeier RB · ARI 2%
- Jordan Addison WR · MIN 2%
- Blake Corum RB · LAR 2%
Usually taken just after
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB · WAS 2%
- James Conner RB · ARI 2%
- Jordan Addison WR · MIN 2%
- Juwan Johnson TE · NO 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Jordan Mason was selected in 9990 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.