DET · Bye 6
Isiah Pacheco
LMD RB49 rest of season · 79.9 projected Half PPR points
Reserve list (IR)
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 79.9 points this season, RB49. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1% of simulated seasons. That is 6.8 a game over 11.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses.
Rest of season
RB49
160th by projected points
Projected
79.9
rest of season, Half PPR
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 1% at RB
Movement
NEW
Not ranked in the previous board
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
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STATUS
Isiah Pacheco was ruled IR.
Let's Mock Draft ·
Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
No completed game has both a pregame projection and a published result yet.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs NO | 3.3 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 79.9 points this season, RB49. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1% of simulated seasons. That is 6.8 a game over 11.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses.
Per game
6.8 / game
Over 11.825 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Isiah Pacheco #261 in 1QB and #264 in Superflex, RB72 at his position. Age 27.
1QB
#261
RB72 · tier 61 · of 297
Superflex
#264
RB72 · tier 53 · of 303
- Last season 77.8 pts 6.0 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 67% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 13.4 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 8% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.04
pick 199.5 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.05
half of simulations take him by pick 201
Draft range
14.06 - 15.12
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 4,829 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.05 in 77% of simulations
Pick 201 overall in a 14-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.01 and 15.09.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.03 | 83% |
| 15.04 | 80% |
| 15.05 | 77% |
| 15.06 | 74% |
| 15.07 | 71% |
| 15.08 | 69% |
| 15.09 | 66% |
| 15.10 | 64% |
| 15.11 | 61% |
| 15.12 | 59% |
| 15.13 | 56% |
| 15.14 | 54% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.06 | <1% | 78 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.07 | <1% | 58 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08 | <1% | 71 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.09 | <1% | 64 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10 | <1% | 67 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11 | <1% | 91 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12 | <1% | 97 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.13 | 1% | 106 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.14 | 1% | 103 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 3% | 297 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 3% | 264 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 3% | 270 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 3% | 280 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 3% | 282 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 3% | 287 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 3% | 262 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 3% | 270 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 3% | 251 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 3% | 253 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 246 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 2% | 241 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 4829 simulations in which Isiah Pacheco was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Eddy Pineiro K · SF 3%
- San Francisco 49ers DST · SF 3%
- Wil Lutz K · DEN 3%
- Will Reichard K · MIN 2%
Usually taken just after
- Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ 3%
- Kayshon Boutte WR · HOU 2%
- Ja'Kobi Lane WR · BAL 2%
- Jalen McMillan WR · TB 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Isiah Pacheco was selected in 4829 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.