LMD Fantasy Support LMD
TE

NE · Bye 11

Hunter Henry

LMD TE Tier 5 for Week 9 · 5.5 projected Standard points · TE20 rest of season

Questionable

Regular season

Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings

We project 5.5 points this week, TE Tier 5. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 1.3 - 12.2 points. Top 3: 8% · Top 12: 26% · Top 24: 48% of simulated weeks. Listed questionable.

Week 9

TE Tier 5

5.2 - 5.9 projected points

Rest of season

TE20

127th by projected points

Projected

5.5

week 9, Standard

Top 12

26%

Top 3: 8% · Top 24: 48% at TE

Movement

↓ 4

TE11 in Week 8, TE15 now

Should you start Hunter Henry in Week 9?

Borderline

It is close. LMD ranks Hunter Henry TE15 for Week 9, just outside the TE12 starter line. He finishes inside TE12 in 26% of simulated weeks.

The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.

Standard scoring · Updated November 5, 2026

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

All TE rankings · Projected points board

Updates

Recent updates

Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Hunter Henry by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.

Season performance

Performance vs. projection

Over 8 completed games Hunter Henry has averaged +0.7 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.

Actual pointsLMD projectionLikely range (middle 80%)
Week by week for Hunter Henry, Standard scoring
Week Opp Proj Actual Delta
Wk 1 @ SEA 3.6 2.6 -1.0
Wk 2 vs PIT 3.7 4.0 +0.3
Wk 3 @ JAX 5.4 0.5 -4.9
Wk 4 @ BUF 4.7 6.2 +1.5
Wk 5 vs LV 5.3 10.4 +5.1
Wk 6 vs NYJ 4.6 10.8 +6.2
Wk 7 @ CHI 5.2 7.1 +1.9
Wk 8 @ MIA 6.2 3.0 -3.2
Wk 9 vs GB 5.5 — —

Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.

Regular season

Why LMD has him here

We project 48.4 points this season, TE20. Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 22% · Top 24: 62% of simulated seasons. That is 5.3 a game over 9 remaining games. Listed questionable. Up 1 since the Nov. 4 board.

Per game

5.3 / game

Over 9 remaining game(s)

Finishing odds

Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 22% · Top 24: 62%

Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at TE

Market input

thin

Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026

Dynasty

Long-term value

LMD's dynasty model has Hunter Henry #153 in 1QB and #150 in Superflex, TE18 at his position. Age 31.

1QB

#153

TE18 · tier 34 · of 300

Superflex

#150

TE18 · tier 27 · of 307

  • Last season 148.8 pts 8.8 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
  • Availability 94% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
  • History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
  • Touches 5.3 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 18% of his team's targets.

LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.

Dynasty rankings Dynasty TE rankings

Draft season Draft position and availability

ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulation average

10.04

pick 112.3 overall, averaged over every simulated draft

Median pick

10.03

half of simulations take him by pick 111

Draft range

8.12 - 11.10

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 9,988 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams
Scoring Standard also published: Half PPR, Full PPR
QB format 1QB
Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 10.03 in 51% of simulations

Pick 111 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

From draft slot 10, the same seat picks again at 11.10, where he is available in 10% of simulations.

Slot 10's remaining turns: 10.03 51% · 11.10 10% · 12.03 5% · 13.10 1% · 14.03 <1% · 15.10 <1%

The middle half of simulations take him between 9.06 and 11.01.

Hunter Henry still on the board
PickAvailable
10.01 56%
10.02 53%
10.03 51%
10.04 48%
10.05 46%
10.06 43%
10.07 41%
10.08 38%
10.09 35%
10.10 33%
10.11 31%
10.12 28%
11.01 26%
11.02 24%
11.03 22%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Hunter Henry was selected at each pick, 8.12-9.01 through 11.10. He goes earlier than this window in 9%, later in 9%, undrafted in <1%.
Draft position distribution for Hunter Henry
PickShare of simulationsCount
8.12-9.015%484 of 10000 simulations
9.02-9.035%467 of 10000 simulations
9.04-9.055%542 of 10000 simulations
9.06-9.076%581 of 10000 simulations
9.08-9.096%560 of 10000 simulations
9.10-9.116%577 of 10000 simulations
9.12-10.016%550 of 10000 simulations
10.02-10.035%515 of 10000 simulations
10.04-10.055%507 of 10000 simulations
10.06-10.075%531 of 10000 simulations
10.08-10.095%479 of 10000 simulations
10.10-10.115%491 of 10000 simulations
10.12-11.014%435 of 10000 simulations
11.02-11.034%408 of 10000 simulations
11.04-11.053%349 of 10000 simulations
11.06-11.073%342 of 10000 simulations
11.08-11.092%248 of 10000 simulations
11.101%126 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 9988 simulations in which Hunter Henry was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.

Hunter Henry was selected in 9988 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.

Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of November 5, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.

A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.2
Generated
November 5, 2026
Player dataset
nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
Baseline
mixed
Market prior
ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-11-05)

Next

Draft it yourself

Mock a 12-team Standard 1QB draft

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.