NE · Bye 11
Drake Maye
Drake Maye comes off the board at 4.02 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 4.02.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
4.02
pick 37.6 overall, on average
Median pick
4.02
half of simulations take him by pick 38
Draft range
2.11 - 5.04
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 4.02 in 53% of simulations
Pick 38 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 11, the same seat picks again at 5.11, where he is available in 2% of simulations.
Slot 11's remaining turns: 4.02 53% · 5.11 2% · 6.02 <1% · 7.11 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 3.06 and 4.09.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 3.12 | 59% |
| 4.01 | 56% |
| 4.02 | 53% |
| 4.03 | 49% |
| 4.04 | 46% |
| 4.05 | 42% |
| 4.06 | 38% |
| 4.07 | 35% |
| 4.08 | 31% |
| 4.09 | 28% |
| 4.10 | 25% |
| 4.11 | 22% |
| 4.12 | 19% |
| 5.01 | 17% |
| 5.02 | 14% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 2.11-2.12 | 2% | 245 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.01-3.02 | 4% | 364 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.03-3.04 | 4% | 445 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.05-3.06 | 5% | 511 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.07-3.08 | 5% | 541 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.09-3.10 | 6% | 632 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.11-3.12 | 7% | 742 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.01-4.02 | 7% | 682 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.03-4.04 | 7% | 714 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.05-4.06 | 7% | 686 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.07-4.08 | 7% | 671 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.09-4.10 | 6% | 611 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.11-4.12 | 5% | 537 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.01-5.02 | 5% | 456 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.03-5.04 | 4% | 369 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Drake Maye was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Josh Allen QB · BUF 3%
- Ladd McConkey WR · LAC 3%
- Tetairoa McMillan WR · CAR 3%
- Breece Hall RB · NYJ 3%
Usually taken just after
- Travis Etienne RB · NO 3%
- Josh Allen QB · BUF 3%
- DeVonta Smith WR · PHI 3%
- Emeka Egbuka WR · TB 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Drake Maye was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.