LAR · Bye 11
Colby Parkinson
LMD TE Tier 7 for Week 9 · 3.8 projected Standard points · TE41 rest of season
Questionable
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 3.8 points this week, TE Tier 7. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 0.7 - 9.0 points. Top 3: 4% · Top 12: 17% · Top 24: 30% of simulated weeks. Listed questionable.
Week 9
TE Tier 7
3.3 - 3.8 projected points
Rest of season
TE41
207th by projected points
Projected
3.8
week 9, Standard
Top 12
17%
Top 3: 4% · Top 24: 30% at TE
Movement
↓ 1
TE27 in Week 8, TE28 now
Should you start Colby Parkinson in Week 9?
Bench
Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Colby Parkinson TE28 for Week 9, outside the TE12 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside TE12 in 17% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
LMD vs the draft market
TE28 vs TE49 +21
LMD has him TE28. The fantasy draft market has him TE49, 21 places lower.
Recent usage above his season baseline.
- Draft / market prior
- Slight negative-0.45 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Positive+0.52 pts
- AvailabilityUnresolved injury
- No mean changeWider range0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.29 pts
- Betting markets
- No mean changeNarrower range+0.01 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
STATUS
Colby Parkinson was listed as Questionable.
Let's Mock Draft ·
Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 6 completed games Colby Parkinson has averaged +0.3 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs SF | 1.9 | 0.6 | -1.3 |
| Wk 2 | vs NYG | 1.9 | 1.5 | -0.4 |
| Wk 3 | @ DEN | 2.1 | 0.0 | -2.1 |
| Wk 4 | @ PHI | 2.4 | Pending | — |
| Wk 5 | vs BUF | 2.4 | 0.3 | -2.1 |
| Wk 6 | vs ARI | 2.5 | 9.1 | +6.6 |
| Wk 7 | @ LV | 3.9 | 4.8 | +0.9 |
| Wk 8 | vs LAC | 2.7 | Pending | — |
| Wk 9 | @ WAS | 3.8 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 30.5 points this season, TE41. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 13% of simulated seasons. That is 3.8 a game over 8.785 remaining games. Listed questionable. Up 2 since the Nov. 4 board.
Per game
3.8 / game
Over 8.785 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 13%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at TE
Market input
thin
Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Colby Parkinson #236 in 1QB and #236 in Superflex, TE34 at his position. Age 27.
1QB
#236
TE34 · tier 52 · of 300
Superflex
#236
TE34 · tier 45 · of 307
- Last season 108.3 pts 7.7 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 87% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 3.4 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 10% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.08
pick 175.9 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.08
half of simulations take him by pick 176
Draft range
15.04 - 15.12
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 1,435 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.08 in 94% of simulations
Pick 176 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.06 and 15.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.06 | 97% |
| 15.07 | 96% |
| 15.08 | 94% |
| 15.09 | 92% |
| 15.10 | 91% |
| 15.11 | 89% |
| 15.12 | 87% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 15.03 | <1% | 48 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | <1% | 71 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 1% | 106 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 166 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 2% | 173 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 160 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 159 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 162 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 164 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 2% | 178 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 1435 simulations in which Colby Parkinson was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Jauan Jennings WR · MIN 3%
- Isaiah Likely TE · NYG 3%
- Will Reichard K · MIN 3%
- Jalen Coker WR · CAR 3%
Usually taken just after
- Will Reichard K · MIN 3%
- Deebo Samuel Sr. WR · SF 3%
- Eddy Pineiro K · SF 3%
- Isaiah Likely TE · NYG 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Colby Parkinson was selected in 1435 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of November 5, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-11-05)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.