BAL · Bye 13 · Rookie
Adam Randall
Adam Randall comes off the board at 5.03 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie mock drafts, with a median of 5.04.
12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
5.03
pick 51.3 overall, on average
Median pick
5.04
half of simulations take him by pick 52
Draft range
4.07 - 5.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 5,311 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 5.04 in 75% of simulations
Pick 52 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 4.11 and 5.08.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 5.02 | 80% |
| 5.03 | 77% |
| 5.04 | 75% |
| 5.05 | 72% |
| 5.06 | 69% |
| 5.07 | 66% |
| 5.08 | 63% |
| 5.09 | 60% |
| 5.10 | 56% |
| 5.11 | 53% |
| 5.12 | 50% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 4.07 | 2% | 180 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.08 | 2% | 200 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.09 | 2% | 227 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.10 | 2% | 224 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.11 | 2% | 246 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.12 | 2% | 216 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.01 | 2% | 240 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.02 | 3% | 279 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.03 | 2% | 242 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.04 | 3% | 280 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.05 | 3% | 315 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.06 | 3% | 285 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.07 | 3% | 337 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.08 | 3% | 293 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.09 | 3% | 335 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.10 | 3% | 300 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.11 | 3% | 317 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 5311 simulations in which Adam Randall was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Robert Henry RB · WAS 3%
- Behren Morton QB · NE 3%
- Hayden Large TE · CHI 3%
- Elijah Tau-Tolliver RB · BAL 3%
Usually taken just after
- Elijah Tau-Tolliver RB · BAL 3%
- Jeff Caldwell WR · KC 3%
- Behren Morton QB · NE 3%
- Robert Henry RB · WAS 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Adam Randall was selected in 5311 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.