NO · Bye 8
Spencer Rattler
Spencer Rattler comes off the board at 15.06 on average in 12-team Half PPR Superflex Dynasty mock drafts, with a median of 15.06.
12-team Half PPR Superflex Dynasty · 10,000 simulations · generated September 17, 2026
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
No completed game has both a pregame projection and a published result yet.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ DET | 3.8 | Pending | — |
| Wk 2 | @ BAL | 6.2 | Pending | — |
| Wk 3 | vs LV | 6.3 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Spencer Rattler #212 in 1QB and #190 in Superflex, QB38 at his position. Age 25.
1QB
#212
QB38 · tier 47 · of 297
Superflex
#190
QB38 · tier 36 · of 303
- Last season 98.6 pts 11.0 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 49% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 2 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Attempts 30.1 / game Pass attempts per game, the opportunity the projection is built on.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR Superflex Dynasty drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.06
pick 173.6 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.06
half of simulations take him by pick 174
Draft range
14.12 - 15.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 2,805 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.06 in 87% of simulations
Pick 174 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.02 and 15.09.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.04 | 90% |
| 15.05 | 88% |
| 15.06 | 87% |
| 15.07 | 84% |
| 15.08 | 82% |
| 15.09 | 80% |
| 15.10 | 78% |
| 15.11 | 76% |
| 15.12 | 74% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.12 | 2% | 178 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 2% | 197 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 2% | 196 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 2% | 203 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 2% | 208 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 2% | 163 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 221 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 2% | 219 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 219 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 202 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 182 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 200 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 2805 simulations in which Spencer Rattler was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Brashard Smith RB · KC 3%
- Ja'Kobi Lane WR · BAL 3%
- Jordan Mason RB · MIN 3%
- Kimani Vidal RB · LAC 3%
Usually taken just after
- Chig Okonkwo TE · WAS 3%
- Kimani Vidal RB · LAC 3%
- DeMario Douglas WR · NE 3%
- Jordan Mason RB · MIN 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR Superflex Dynasty drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Spencer Rattler was selected in 2805 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.