JAX · Bye 7
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars comes off the board at 15.04 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 15.04.
12-team Half PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 21, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.04
pick 172.1 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.04
half of simulations take him by pick 172
Draft range
14.11 - 15.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 680 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.04 in 97% of simulations
Pick 172 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 14.12 and 15.08.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.02 | 98% |
| 15.03 | 97% |
| 15.04 | 97% |
| 15.05 | 96% |
| 15.06 | 96% |
| 15.07 | 95% |
| 15.08 | 95% |
| 15.09 | 95% |
| 15.10 | 94% |
| 15.11 | 94% |
| 15.12 | 94% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.11 | <1% | 64 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12 | <1% | 98 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | <1% | 32 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | <1% | 45 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | <1% | 63 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | <1% | 50 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | <1% | 49 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | <1% | 41 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | <1% | 30 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | <1% | 35 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | <1% | 31 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | <1% | 35 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | <1% | 34 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 680 simulations in which Jacksonville Jaguars was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Chris Boswell K · PIT 4%
- Tyjae Spears RB · TEN 4%
- Alvin Kamara RB · NO 3%
- Andy Borregales K · NE 3%
Usually taken just after
- Chris Boswell K · PIT 4%
- Andy Borregales K · NE 3%
- Tyjae Spears RB · TEN 3%
- Harrison Butker K · KC 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Jacksonville Jaguars was selected in 680 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of August 21, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- August 21, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-08-21)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.