DET · Bye 6
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions comes off the board at 14.05 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 14.04.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
14.05
pick 160.8 overall, on average
Median pick
14.04
half of simulations take him by pick 160
Draft range
13.11 - 14.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,830 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 14.04 in 56% of simulations
Pick 160 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 9, the same seat picks again at 15.09, where he is available in 3% of simulations.
Slot 9's remaining turns: 14.04 56% · 15.09 3%
The middle half of simulations take him between 14.01 and 14.08.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 14.02 | 69% |
| 14.03 | 62% |
| 14.04 | 56% |
| 14.05 | 50% |
| 14.06 | 43% |
| 14.07 | 36% |
| 14.08 | 29% |
| 14.09 | 24% |
| 14.10 | 19% |
| 14.11 | 15% |
| 14.12 | 11% |
| 15.01 | 8% |
| 15.02 | 7% |
| 15.03 | 6% |
| 15.04 | 5% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 13.11 | 7% | 708 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.12 | 9% | 890 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.01 | 7% | 669 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02 | 7% | 685 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.03 | 7% | 666 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.04 | 6% | 600 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.05 | 7% | 682 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.06 | 7% | 712 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.07 | 6% | 636 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08 | 6% | 576 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.09 | 5% | 490 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10 | 4% | 404 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11 | 3% | 322 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9830 simulations in which Detroit Lions was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Buffalo Bills DST · BUF 12%
- Pittsburgh Steelers DST · PIT 9%
- Green Bay Packers DST · GB 5%
- Cam Little K · JAX 5%
Usually taken just after
- Green Bay Packers DST · GB 10%
- Buffalo Bills DST · BUF 6%
- Cam Little K · JAX 6%
- Ka'imi Fairbairn K · HOU 5%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Detroit Lions was selected in 9830 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.