PHI · Bye 10 · Rookie
Eli Stowers
Eli Stowers comes off the board at 14.04 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 14.08.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated October 1, 2026
Updates
Recent updates
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STATUS
Eli Stowers was ruled IR.
Let's Mock Draft ·
Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Weekly performance vs. LMD projections will appear once games begin.
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Eli Stowers #196 in 1QB and #193 in Superflex, TE26 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 23.
1QB
#196
TE26 · tier 43 · of 297 · rookie 25 of 52
Superflex
#193
TE26 · tier 36 · of 303 · rookie 25 of 52
- Draft capital Round 2, pick 54 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Dynasty rankings Dynasty TE rankings Dynasty rookie rankings
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
14.04
pick 159.9 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
14.08
half of simulations take him by pick 164
Draft range
12.08 - 15.10
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 4,199 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 14.08 in 80% of simulations
Pick 164 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 5, the same seat picks again at 15.05, where he is available in 70% of simulations.
Slot 5's remaining turns: 14.08 80% · 15.05 70%
The middle half of simulations take him between 12.11 and 15.06.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 14.06 | 81% |
| 14.07 | 80% |
| 14.08 | 80% |
| 14.09 | 79% |
| 14.10 | 78% |
| 14.11 | 78% |
| 14.12 | 77% |
| 15.01 | 76% |
| 15.02 | 74% |
| 15.03 | 73% |
| 15.04 | 72% |
| 15.05 | 70% |
| 15.06 | 69% |
| 15.07 | 67% |
| 15.08 | 66% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 12.08-12.09 | 4% | 378 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.10-12.11 | 4% | 384 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.12-13.01 | 3% | 262 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.02-13.03 | <1% | 41 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.04-13.05 | <1% | 62 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.06-13.07 | <1% | 36 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08-13.09 | <1% | 46 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.10-13.11 | <1% | 49 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.12-14.01 | <1% | 81 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02-14.03 | 1% | 101 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.04-14.05 | 1% | 107 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.06-14.07 | 1% | 100 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08-14.09 | 1% | 128 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10-14.11 | 2% | 174 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12-15.01 | 2% | 219 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02-15.03 | 3% | 289 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04-15.05 | 3% | 296 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06-15.07 | 3% | 308 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08-15.09 | 3% | 299 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 151 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 4199 simulations in which Eli Stowers was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Green Bay Packers DST · GB 2%
- Trey Benson RB · ARI 2%
- Seattle Seahawks DST · SEA 2%
- De'Zhaun Stribling WR · SF 2%
Usually taken just after
- Brandon Aubrey K · DAL 4%
- Deebo Samuel Sr. WR · SF 2%
- T.J. Hockenson TE · MIN 2%
- Seattle Seahawks DST · SEA 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Eli Stowers was selected in 4199 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.