MIN · Bye 6
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings comes off the board at 13.10 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 13.09.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated October 1, 2026
Updates
Recent updates
-
ADP UPDATE
Minnesota Vikings's ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 109.2 to 113.4 over the last 7 days.
Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Weekly performance vs. LMD projections will appear once games begin.
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
13.10
pick 154.1 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
13.09
half of simulations take him by pick 153
Draft range
13.06 - 14.03
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,999 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 13.09 in 61% of simulations
Pick 153 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 9, the same seat picks again at 14.04, where he is available in 9% of simulations.
Slot 9's remaining turns: 13.09 61% · 14.04 9% · 15.09 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 13.07 and 13.12.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 13.07 | 85% |
| 13.08 | 73% |
| 13.09 | 61% |
| 13.10 | 49% |
| 13.11 | 38% |
| 13.12 | 29% |
| 14.01 | 20% |
| 14.02 | 16% |
| 14.03 | 12% |
| 14.04 | 9% |
| 14.05 | 6% |
| 14.06 | 4% |
| 14.07 | 3% |
| 14.08 | 2% |
| 14.09 | 1% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 13.06 | 10% | 1024 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.07 | 12% | 1227 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08 | 13% | 1250 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.09 | 12% | 1172 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.10 | 11% | 1102 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.11 | 9% | 913 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.12 | 8% | 822 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.01 | 4% | 435 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02 | 4% | 364 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.03 | 3% | 320 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9999 simulations in which Minnesota Vikings was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Houston Texans DST · HOU 19%
- Baltimore Ravens DST · BAL 12%
- Pittsburgh Steelers DST · PIT 9%
- Philadelphia Eagles DST · PHI 6%
Usually taken just after
- Pittsburgh Steelers DST · PIT 19%
- Buffalo Bills DST · BUF 10%
- Houston Texans DST · HOU 9%
- Ka'imi Fairbairn K · HOU 6%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Minnesota Vikings was selected in 9999 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.