HOU · Bye 8
Houston Texans
Houston Texans comes off the board at 13.08 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 13.07.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
13.08
pick 152.0 overall, on average
Median pick
13.07
half of simulations take him by pick 151
Draft range
13.05 - 13.12
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 13.07 in 63% of simulations
Pick 151 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 7, the same seat picks again at 14.06, where he is available in 1% of simulations.
Slot 7's remaining turns: 13.07 63% · 14.06 1% · 15.07 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 13.06 and 13.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 13.05 | 92% |
| 13.06 | 78% |
| 13.07 | 63% |
| 13.08 | 49% |
| 13.09 | 37% |
| 13.10 | 27% |
| 13.11 | 19% |
| 13.12 | 13% |
| 14.01 | 9% |
| 14.02 | 6% |
| 14.03 | 4% |
| 14.04 | 3% |
| 14.05 | 2% |
| 14.06 | 1% |
| 14.07 | <1% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 13.04 | 7% | 713 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.05 | 14% | 1366 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.06 | 16% | 1552 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.07 | 14% | 1391 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08 | 12% | 1194 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.09 | 10% | 1009 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.10 | 8% | 801 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.11 | 6% | 609 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.12 | 4% | 411 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.01 | 2% | 235 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Houston Texans was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Baltimore Ravens DST · BAL 18%
- Philadelphia Eagles DST · PHI 11%
- Minnesota Vikings DST · MIN 9%
- Denver Broncos DST · DEN 9%
Usually taken just after
- Minnesota Vikings DST · MIN 19%
- Pittsburgh Steelers DST · PIT 13%
- Baltimore Ravens DST · BAL 10%
- Jason Myers K · SEA 7%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Houston Texans was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
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Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.