HOU · Bye 8
Houston Texans
Houston Texans comes off the board at 13.08 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 13.08.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated October 1, 2026
Updates
Recent updates
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ADP UPDATE
Houston Texans's ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 97.4 to 103.8 over the last 7 days.
Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Weekly performance vs. LMD projections will appear once games begin.
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
13.08
pick 152.2 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
13.08
half of simulations take him by pick 152
Draft range
13.05 - 13.12
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 13.08 in 51% of simulations
Pick 152 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 8, the same seat picks again at 14.05, where he is available in 2% of simulations.
Slot 8's remaining turns: 13.08 51% · 14.05 2% · 15.08 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 13.06 and 13.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 13.06 | 80% |
| 13.07 | 65% |
| 13.08 | 51% |
| 13.09 | 39% |
| 13.10 | 29% |
| 13.11 | 20% |
| 13.12 | 14% |
| 14.01 | 9% |
| 14.02 | 7% |
| 14.03 | 5% |
| 14.04 | 4% |
| 14.05 | 2% |
| 14.06 | 1% |
| 14.07 | <1% |
| 14.08 | <1% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 13.04 | 7% | 659 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.05 | 13% | 1276 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.06 | 15% | 1518 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.07 | 14% | 1404 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08 | 12% | 1217 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.09 | 10% | 1000 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.10 | 9% | 863 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.11 | 6% | 649 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.12 | 5% | 452 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.01 | 3% | 261 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Houston Texans was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Baltimore Ravens DST · BAL 18%
- Philadelphia Eagles DST · PHI 12%
- Minnesota Vikings DST · MIN 9%
- Denver Broncos DST · DEN 9%
Usually taken just after
- Minnesota Vikings DST · MIN 19%
- Pittsburgh Steelers DST · PIT 13%
- Baltimore Ravens DST · BAL 9%
- Ka'imi Fairbairn K · HOU 6%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Houston Texans was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.