Tolu Smith

Draft board

Where he sits

Tolu Smith is number 323 of 497 on our fantasy basketball draft board, in tier 29.

This is LMD's own fantasy basketball projection board and not an average draft position: nobody has measured where he is actually drafted. Every number on it is produced by our model from BALLDONTLIE, and none of it is anybody else's ranking.

Board: lmd-nba-projection

Our model

2026-27 projection

We project 17.1 fantasy points and 15.3 minutes a game across 30 games, in a fantasy basketball points league.

About 513 fantasy points over 30 projected games -- the per-game figure is the projection, and this is it multiplied out.

Confidence Low: 16 games and 160 minutes observed across 2 seasons.

Against 2025-26, priced with the same scoring rule: 10.1 fantasy points a game over 15 games, a change of +7.0.

The whole board · C rankings

LMD projections estimate each player's expected fantasy production from the 2023-2025 seasons, weighting recent playing time and per-minute production and regressing small samples toward positional norms. They are our own model's view, not a consensus and not a draft market. Rookies have no NBA history, so they are projected from what players drafted near the same slot have historically played, at low confidence. Statistics from BALLDONTLIE.

LMD Projections, 2026-27. Statistics from BALLDONTLIE.

Lineup

Position eligibility

Eligible at C, which fills 2 lineup slots in our default roster.

Today

Where he stands

On a roster -- DET.

2025 regular season, 15 games played.

Last season as it was actually recorded, per game. It is a measurement rather than a projection, and nothing on this page turns it into one: our board order does not read it.

Facts: BALLDONTLIE

Board context

Who goes around him

The players immediately above and below him on the same board. Board order, not observed drafts.

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