NE · Bye 11
New England Patriots
New England Patriots comes off the board at 14.01 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 13.12.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 21, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
14.01
pick 156.9 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
13.12
half of simulations take him by pick 156
Draft range
13.04 - 14.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 6,680 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 13.12 in 67% of simulations
Pick 156 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 12, the same seat picks again at 14.01, where he is available in 62% of simulations.
Slot 12's remaining turns: 13.12 67% · 14.01 62% · 15.12 33%
The middle half of simulations take him between 13.08 and 14.06.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 13.10 | 76% |
| 13.11 | 72% |
| 13.12 | 67% |
| 14.01 | 62% |
| 14.02 | 59% |
| 14.03 | 57% |
| 14.04 | 55% |
| 14.05 | 53% |
| 14.06 | 51% |
| 14.07 | 49% |
| 14.08 | 47% |
| 14.09 | 45% |
| 14.10 | 43% |
| 14.11 | 41% |
| 14.12 | 39% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 13.04 | 2% | 231 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.05 | 3% | 278 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.06 | 3% | 312 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.07 | 3% | 344 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08 | 4% | 354 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.09 | 4% | 366 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.10 | 4% | 434 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.11 | 5% | 478 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.12 | 5% | 525 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.01 | 3% | 283 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02 | 2% | 228 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.03 | 2% | 221 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.04 | 2% | 205 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.05 | 2% | 204 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.06 | 2% | 186 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.07 | 2% | 189 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08 | 2% | 197 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.09 | 2% | 201 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10 | 2% | 220 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11 | 2% | 224 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 6680 simulations in which New England Patriots was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Philadelphia Eagles DST · PHI 5%
- Pittsburgh Steelers DST · PIT 5%
- Minnesota Vikings DST · MIN 5%
- Cameron Dicker K · LAC 5%
Usually taken just after
- Jason Myers K · SEA 5%
- Cameron Dicker K · LAC 5%
- Ka'imi Fairbairn K · HOU 5%
- Jake Bates K · DET 5%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
New England Patriots was selected in 6680 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of August 21, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- August 21, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-08-21)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.