CIN · Bye 6

Evan McPherson

Evan McPherson comes off the board at 15.05 on average in 14-team Half PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 15.04.

14-team Half PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulated ADP

15.05

pick 200.8 overall, on average

Median pick

15.04

half of simulations take him by pick 200

Draft range

14.13 - 15.13

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 2,236 of them

Filters

League format

League size 14 teams

Scoring Half PPR

QB format 1QB

Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 15.04 in 89% of simulations

Pick 200 overall in a 14-team draft · 10,000 simulations

The middle half of simulations take him between 14.14 and 15.10.

Evan McPherson still on the board
Pick	Available
15.02	91%
15.03	90%
15.04	89%
15.05	88%
15.06	87%
15.07	86%
15.08	85%
15.09	84%
15.10	83%
15.11	82%
15.12	81%
15.13	80%
15.14	79%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Evan McPherson was selected at each pick, 14.13 through 15.13. He goes earlier than this window in 1%, later in 1%, undrafted in 78%.

Draft position distribution for Evan McPherson
Pick	Share of simulations	Count
14.13	2%	246 of 10000 simulations
14.14	4%	379 of 10000 simulations
15.01	<1%	88 of 10000 simulations
15.02	<1%	92 of 10000 simulations
15.03	1%	130 of 10000 simulations
15.04	<1%	99 of 10000 simulations
15.05	1%	110 of 10000 simulations
15.06	1%	108 of 10000 simulations
15.07	1%	108 of 10000 simulations
15.08	<1%	70 of 10000 simulations
15.09	<1%	95 of 10000 simulations
15.10	<1%	97 of 10000 simulations
15.11	<1%	85 of 10000 simulations
15.12	1%	115 of 10000 simulations
15.13	1%	139 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 2236 simulations in which Evan McPherson was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Wil Lutz K · DEN 8%
Eddy Pineiro K · SF 8%
Will Reichard K · MIN 4%
San Francisco 49ers DST · SF 4%

Usually taken just after

San Francisco 49ers DST · SF 4%
Jalen Nailor WR · LV 4%
Troy Franklin WR · DEN 3%
Kayshon Boutte WR · NE 3%

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.

Evan McPherson was selected in 2236 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.

We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.

Simulation model: simulation-v1.1
Generated: August 20, 2026
Player dataset: sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
Baseline: rank

Draft it yourself

Mock this format now

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.