DAL · Bye 14 · Rookie
Camden Brown
Camden Brown comes off the board at 4.10 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie mock drafts, with a median of 4.10.
12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
4.10
pick 45.7 overall, on average
Median pick
4.10
half of simulations take him by pick 46
Draft range
3.10 - 5.09
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 8,386 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 4.10 in 59% of simulations
Pick 46 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 3, the same seat picks again at 5.03, where he is available in 44% of simulations.
Slot 3's remaining turns: 4.10 59% · 5.03 44%
The middle half of simulations take him between 4.03 and 5.05.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 4.08 | 64% |
| 4.09 | 62% |
| 4.10 | 59% |
| 4.11 | 56% |
| 4.12 | 53% |
| 5.01 | 51% |
| 5.02 | 47% |
| 5.03 | 44% |
| 5.04 | 42% |
| 5.05 | 38% |
| 5.06 | 35% |
| 5.07 | 32% |
| 5.08 | 29% |
| 5.09 | 26% |
| 5.10 | 24% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 3.10 | 2% | 245 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.11 | 3% | 263 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.12 | 3% | 266 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.01 | 3% | 288 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.02 | 3% | 322 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.03 | 3% | 308 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.04 | 3% | 337 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.05 | 3% | 279 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.06 | 3% | 281 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.07 | 3% | 314 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.08 | 3% | 265 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.09 | 2% | 243 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.10 | 3% | 291 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.11 | 3% | 289 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.12 | 3% | 275 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.01 | 3% | 312 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.02 | 3% | 295 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.03 | 3% | 285 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.04 | 3% | 345 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.05 | 3% | 311 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.06 | 3% | 308 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.07 | 3% | 294 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.08 | 3% | 267 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.09 | 3% | 270 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 8386 simulations in which Camden Brown was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- J. Michael Sturdivant WR · GB 4%
- Skyler Bell WR · BUF 3%
- Chris Brazzell WR · CAR 3%
- Chase Roberts WR · LV 3%
Usually taken just after
- J. Michael Sturdivant WR · GB 3%
- Skyler Bell WR · BUF 3%
- Dean Connors RB · LAR 3%
- Hayden Large TE · CHI 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Camden Brown was selected in 8386 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.