CHI · Bye 10 · Rookie
Hayden Large
Hayden Large comes off the board at 4.08 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie mock drafts, with a median of 4.08.
12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
4.08
pick 43.6 overall, on average
Median pick
4.08
half of simulations take him by pick 44
Draft range
3.07 - 5.07
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 8,974 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 4.08 in 58% of simulations
Pick 44 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 5, the same seat picks again at 5.05, where he is available in 26% of simulations.
Slot 5's remaining turns: 4.08 58% · 5.05 26%
The middle half of simulations take him between 4.02 and 5.02.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 4.06 | 66% |
| 4.07 | 62% |
| 4.08 | 58% |
| 4.09 | 54% |
| 4.10 | 51% |
| 4.11 | 46% |
| 4.12 | 42% |
| 5.01 | 39% |
| 5.02 | 35% |
| 5.03 | 32% |
| 5.04 | 29% |
| 5.05 | 26% |
| 5.06 | 24% |
| 5.07 | 21% |
| 5.08 | 19% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 3.07-3.08 | 3% | 269 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.09-3.10 | 4% | 374 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.11-3.12 | 4% | 412 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.01-4.02 | 5% | 523 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.03-4.04 | 6% | 613 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.05-4.06 | 7% | 702 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.07-4.08 | 8% | 801 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.09-4.10 | 8% | 797 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.11-4.12 | 8% | 794 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.01-5.02 | 6% | 617 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.03-5.04 | 6% | 611 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.05-5.06 | 5% | 515 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.07 | 2% | 220 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 8974 simulations in which Hayden Large was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Max Klare TE · LAR 4%
- Dan Villari TE · LAR 4%
- Eli Raridon TE · NE 3%
- Michael Trigg TE · DAL 3%
Usually taken just after
- Dan Villari TE · LAR 3%
- Eli Raridon TE · NE 3%
- Jack Endries TE · CIN 3%
- Max Klare TE · LAR 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Hayden Large was selected in 8974 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.