LV · Bye 13 · Rookie
Chase Roberts
Chase Roberts comes off the board at 4.03 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie mock drafts, with a median of 4.02.
12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
4.03
pick 39.0 overall, on average
Median pick
4.02
half of simulations take him by pick 38
Draft range
3.03 - 5.04
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,756 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 4.02 in 55% of simulations
Pick 38 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 11, the same seat picks again at 5.11, where he is available in 4% of simulations.
Slot 11's remaining turns: 4.02 55% · 5.11 4%
The middle half of simulations take him between 3.08 and 4.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 3.12 | 63% |
| 4.01 | 59% |
| 4.02 | 55% |
| 4.03 | 51% |
| 4.04 | 47% |
| 4.05 | 43% |
| 4.06 | 40% |
| 4.07 | 37% |
| 4.08 | 33% |
| 4.09 | 30% |
| 4.10 | 27% |
| 4.11 | 24% |
| 4.12 | 22% |
| 5.01 | 20% |
| 5.02 | 17% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 3.03-3.04 | 5% | 482 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.05-3.06 | 6% | 555 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.07-3.08 | 6% | 633 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.09-3.10 | 7% | 698 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.11-3.12 | 8% | 775 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.01-4.02 | 8% | 827 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.03-4.04 | 8% | 765 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.05-4.06 | 6% | 639 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.07-4.08 | 7% | 652 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.09-4.10 | 6% | 591 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.11-4.12 | 5% | 467 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.01-5.02 | 5% | 472 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.03-5.04 | 4% | 357 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9756 simulations in which Chase Roberts was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- E.J. Williams WR · LV 3%
- Chris Brazzell WR · CAR 3%
- Michael Wortham WR · JAX 3%
- Seydou Traore TE · MIA 3%
Usually taken just after
- E.J. Williams WR · LV 3%
- Chris Brazzell WR · CAR 3%
- Eli Raridon TE · NE 3%
- Seydou Traore TE · MIA 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Chase Roberts was selected in 9756 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.