GB · Bye 11 · Rookie
J. Michael Sturdivant
J. Michael Sturdivant comes off the board at 4.08 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie mock drafts, with a median of 4.07.
12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
4.08
pick 43.6 overall, on average
Median pick
4.07
half of simulations take him by pick 43
Draft range
3.08 - 5.08
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 8,985 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 4.07 in 58% of simulations
Pick 43 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 6, the same seat picks again at 5.06, where he is available in 25% of simulations.
Slot 6's remaining turns: 4.07 58% · 5.06 25%
The middle half of simulations take him between 3.12 and 5.03.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 4.05 | 64% |
| 4.06 | 61% |
| 4.07 | 58% |
| 4.08 | 55% |
| 4.09 | 52% |
| 4.10 | 49% |
| 4.11 | 46% |
| 4.12 | 43% |
| 5.01 | 40% |
| 5.02 | 37% |
| 5.03 | 34% |
| 5.04 | 31% |
| 5.05 | 28% |
| 5.06 | 25% |
| 5.07 | 23% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 3.08-3.09 | 6% | 554 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.10-3.11 | 6% | 613 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.12-4.01 | 6% | 633 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.02-4.03 | 6% | 625 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.04-4.05 | 6% | 633 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.06-4.07 | 6% | 599 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.08-4.09 | 6% | 600 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.10-4.11 | 6% | 583 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.12-5.01 | 6% | 597 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.02-5.03 | 6% | 591 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.04-5.05 | 6% | 567 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.06-5.07 | 5% | 518 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.08 | 2% | 223 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 8985 simulations in which J. Michael Sturdivant was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Chris Brazzell WR · CAR 3%
- Skyler Bell WR · BUF 3%
- Eli Raridon TE · NE 3%
- Robert Henry RB · WAS 3%
Usually taken just after
- Camden Brown WR · DAL 3%
- Skyler Bell WR · BUF 3%
- Chase Roberts WR · LV 3%
- Robert Henry RB · WAS 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
J. Michael Sturdivant was selected in 8985 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.