CLE · Bye 11 · Rookie
Joe Royer
Joe Royer comes off the board at 5.01 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie mock drafts, with a median of 5.02.
12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
5.01
pick 49.0 overall, on average
Median pick
5.02
half of simulations take him by pick 50
Draft range
4.03 - 5.10
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 5,441 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 5.02 in 73% of simulations
Pick 50 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 4.08 and 5.07.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 4.12 | 78% |
| 5.01 | 75% |
| 5.02 | 73% |
| 5.03 | 70% |
| 5.04 | 68% |
| 5.05 | 65% |
| 5.06 | 63% |
| 5.07 | 60% |
| 5.08 | 58% |
| 5.09 | 55% |
| 5.10 | 53% |
| 5.11 | 51% |
| 5.12 | 48% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 4.03 | 1% | 145 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.04 | 2% | 161 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.05 | 1% | 147 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.06 | 2% | 173 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.07 | 2% | 201 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.08 | 2% | 193 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.09 | 2% | 239 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.10 | 2% | 196 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.11 | 3% | 259 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.12 | 2% | 236 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.01 | 2% | 236 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.02 | 3% | 259 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.03 | 3% | 251 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.04 | 3% | 275 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.05 | 2% | 245 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.06 | 2% | 243 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.07 | 2% | 243 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.08 | 2% | 243 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.09 | 2% | 238 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.10 | 2% | 245 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 5441 simulations in which Joe Royer was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Jack Endries TE · CIN 4%
- Hayden Large TE · CHI 4%
- Justin Joly TE · DEN 3%
- Joe Fagnano QB · BAL 3%
Usually taken just after
- Justin Joly TE · DEN 3%
- Hayden Large TE · CHI 3%
- Dean Connors RB · LAR 3%
- Oscar Delp TE · NO 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Joe Royer was selected in 5441 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.