BAL · Bye 13 · Rookie
Joe Fagnano
Joe Fagnano comes off the board at 4.10 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie mock drafts, with a median of 4.11.
12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
4.10
pick 46.2 overall, on average
Median pick
4.11
half of simulations take him by pick 47
Draft range
3.09 - 5.09
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 8,128 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 4.11 in 62% of simulations
Pick 47 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 2, the same seat picks again at 5.02, where he is available in 52% of simulations.
Slot 2's remaining turns: 4.11 62% · 5.02 52%
The middle half of simulations take him between 4.04 and 5.06.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 4.09 | 68% |
| 4.10 | 65% |
| 4.11 | 62% |
| 4.12 | 59% |
| 5.01 | 55% |
| 5.02 | 52% |
| 5.03 | 49% |
| 5.04 | 45% |
| 5.05 | 42% |
| 5.06 | 39% |
| 5.07 | 36% |
| 5.08 | 33% |
| 5.09 | 30% |
| 5.10 | 27% |
| 5.11 | 24% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 3.09-3.10 | 3% | 285 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.11-3.12 | 3% | 288 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.01-4.02 | 4% | 375 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.03-4.04 | 5% | 451 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.05-4.06 | 5% | 491 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.07-4.08 | 6% | 576 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.09-4.10 | 6% | 626 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.11-4.12 | 7% | 674 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.01-5.02 | 6% | 606 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.03-5.04 | 7% | 695 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.05-5.06 | 6% | 623 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.07-5.08 | 6% | 616 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.09 | 3% | 300 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 8128 simulations in which Joe Fagnano was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Carson Beck QB · ARI 3%
- Athan Kaliakmanis QB · WAS 3%
- Robert Henry RB · WAS 3%
- Dean Connors RB · LAR 3%
Usually taken just after
- Carson Beck QB · ARI 3%
- Athan Kaliakmanis QB · WAS 3%
- Robert Henry RB · WAS 3%
- Behren Morton QB · NE 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Joe Fagnano was selected in 8128 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.