LAC · Bye 7 · Rookie
Sincere Brown
Sincere Brown comes off the board at 5.09 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie mock drafts, with a median of 5.09.
12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
5.09
pick 57.1 overall, on average
Median pick
5.09
half of simulations take him by pick 57
Draft range
5.06 - 5.12
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 1,805 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 5.09 in 93% of simulations
Pick 57 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 5.07 and 5.11.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 5.07 | 97% |
| 5.08 | 95% |
| 5.09 | 93% |
| 5.10 | 90% |
| 5.11 | 87% |
| 5.12 | 85% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 5.03 | 0% | 0 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.04 | 0% | 0 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.05 | 0% | 0 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.06 | 3% | 250 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.07 | 3% | 254 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.08 | 2% | 219 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.09 | 3% | 252 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.10 | 3% | 277 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.11 | 3% | 267 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.12 | 3% | 281 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 1805 simulations in which Sincere Brown was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Barika Kpeenu RB · TB 4%
- Cameron Dorner WR · NE 4%
- Reggie Virgil WR · ARI 4%
- Adam Randall RB · BAL 4%
Usually taken just after
- Jeff Caldwell WR · KC 3%
- Behren Morton QB · NE 3%
- Zavion Thomas WR · CHI 3%
- Matthew Caldwell QB · LAR 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Sincere Brown was selected in 1805 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.