JAX · Bye 7 · Rookie
Michael Wortham
Michael Wortham comes off the board at 3.08 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie mock drafts, with a median of 3.08.
12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
3.08
pick 32.2 overall, on average
Median pick
3.08
half of simulations take him by pick 32
Draft range
2.08 - 4.08
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,986 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 3.08 in 54% of simulations
Pick 32 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 8, the same seat picks again at 4.05, where he is available in 18% of simulations.
Slot 8's remaining turns: 3.08 54% · 4.05 18% · 5.08 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 3.02 and 4.02.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 3.06 | 62% |
| 3.07 | 58% |
| 3.08 | 54% |
| 3.09 | 49% |
| 3.10 | 45% |
| 3.11 | 40% |
| 3.12 | 36% |
| 4.01 | 31% |
| 4.02 | 27% |
| 4.03 | 24% |
| 4.04 | 21% |
| 4.05 | 18% |
| 4.06 | 16% |
| 4.07 | 14% |
| 4.08 | 12% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 2.08-2.09 | 4% | 357 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.10-2.11 | 5% | 468 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.12-3.01 | 6% | 573 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.02-3.03 | 7% | 665 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.04-3.05 | 8% | 753 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.06-3.07 | 9% | 858 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.08-3.09 | 9% | 880 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.10-3.11 | 9% | 915 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.12-4.01 | 8% | 807 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.02-4.03 | 6% | 634 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.04-4.05 | 5% | 530 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.06-4.07 | 4% | 432 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.08 | 2% | 178 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9986 simulations in which Michael Wortham was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Harrison Wallace WR · ARI 4%
- Kaelon Black RB · SF 3%
- Malachi Fields WR · NYG 3%
- Elijah Sarratt WR · BAL 3%
Usually taken just after
- Kaelon Black RB · SF 3%
- Harrison Wallace WR · ARI 3%
- Chase Roberts WR · LV 3%
- Max Klare TE · LAR 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Michael Wortham was selected in 9986 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
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Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.