TB · Bye 10 · Rookie
Jalon Daniels
Jalon Daniels comes off the board at 4.12 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie mock drafts, with a median of 5.02.
12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
4.12
pick 48.4 overall, on average
Median pick
5.02
half of simulations take him by pick 50
Draft range
3.12 - 5.10
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 6,597 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 5.02 in 68% of simulations
Pick 50 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 4.07 and 5.07.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 4.12 | 73% |
| 5.01 | 70% |
| 5.02 | 68% |
| 5.03 | 65% |
| 5.04 | 62% |
| 5.05 | 59% |
| 5.06 | 56% |
| 5.07 | 53% |
| 5.08 | 50% |
| 5.09 | 46% |
| 5.10 | 44% |
| 5.11 | 40% |
| 5.12 | 37% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 3.12 | 1% | 120 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.01 | 1% | 143 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.02 | 2% | 152 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.03 | 1% | 140 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.04 | 2% | 153 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.05 | 2% | 174 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.06 | 2% | 180 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.07 | 2% | 183 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.08 | 2% | 209 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.09 | 2% | 213 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.10 | 2% | 208 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.11 | 2% | 238 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.12 | 3% | 280 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.01 | 2% | 237 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.02 | 3% | 304 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.03 | 3% | 309 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.04 | 3% | 323 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.05 | 3% | 283 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.06 | 3% | 306 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.07 | 3% | 301 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.08 | 3% | 335 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.09 | 3% | 286 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.10 | 3% | 314 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 6597 simulations in which Jalon Daniels was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Carson Beck QB · ARI 3%
- Joe Fagnano QB · BAL 3%
- Athan Kaliakmanis QB · WAS 3%
- Skyler Bell WR · BUF 3%
Usually taken just after
- Joe Fagnano QB · BAL 3%
- Carson Beck QB · ARI 3%
- Athan Kaliakmanis QB · WAS 3%
- Behren Morton QB · NE 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Jalon Daniels was selected in 6597 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.